Volkswagen AG Stock Forecast
Evaluation of Volkswagen AG stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
The Volkswagen AG stock price gained 0.0415% on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024), rising from 120.35€ to 120.40€. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.04% from a day low at 119.85€ to a day high of 121.10€. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.24% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -104 thousand shares and in total, 817 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 98.32€ million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Volkswagen AG stock with a 90% probability to be traded between 113.41€ and 127.19€ at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stocks seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stocks turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VOW3.F Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, May 02, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.29%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Volkswagen AG stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at 120.97€. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at 119.56€. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Volkswagen AG stock
Volkswagen AG finds support from accumulated volume at 119.16€ and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved 1.25€ (1.04%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.80%.
Our recommended stop-loss: 114.95€ (-4.53%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 11 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VOW3.F) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Volkswagen AG to open at 120.45€, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 118.15€ and 122.65€, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-2.25€ (+/-1.87%) up or down from last closing price. If Volkswagen AG takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.74% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at 120.88€ (0.40%) than the support at 119.16€ (1.03%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Volkswagen AG stock A Buy?
Volkswagen AG holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.881 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Volkswagen AG of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
120.45€ ( 0.0415%) | 120.40€ |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VOW3.F
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 121.70 | 1.08 % | |
R2 | 121.22 | 0.683 % | ||
R1 | 120.93 | 0.438 % | ||
Current price: | 120.40 | |||
Support | S1 | 119.97 | -0.355 % | |
S2 | 119.68 | -0.600 % | ||
S3 | 119.20 | -1.00 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 124.00 | 2.99 % | |
R2 | 122.40 | 1.66 % | ||
R1 | 120.88 | 0.399 % | ||
Current price | 120.40 | |||
Support | S1 | 119.16 | -1.03% | |
S2 | 113.78 | -5.50% | ||
S3 | 113.76 | -5.51% |
VOW3 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | May 30, 2024 | 0€ | 0% |
2 | May 15, 2023 | May 15, 2023 | May 15, 2023 | 8.76€ | 0% |
3 | May 11, 2023 | May 11, 2023 | May 11, 2023 | 8.76€ | 0% |
4 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | Dec 19, 2022 | 19.06€ | 0% |
5 | May 13, 2022 | May 13, 2022 | May 13, 2022 | 7.56€ | 0% |
FAQ
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