Vistra Energy Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since Jan 02, 2025 Gain 14.17%

The Vistra Energy stock price fell by -1.80% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jan 2025) from $174.00 to $170.86. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.07% from a day low at $166.50 to a day high of $173.28. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 14.17% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 8 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.33 billion.

The stock lies in the upper part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $174.58 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 25.38% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $180.40 and $218.88 at the end of this 3-month period.

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VST Signals & Forecast

The Vistra Energy stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $167.74 and $152.80. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, January 16, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.80%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vistra Energy stock

Vistra Energy finds support from accumulated volume at $166.73 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $6.78 between high and low, or 4.07%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.31%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $165.28 (-3.27%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (VST) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Vistra Energy Corp to open at $170.21, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $161.95 and $179.77, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$8.91 (+/-5.22%) up or down from last closing price. If Vistra Energy Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 10.43% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $174.00 (1.84%) than the support at $166.73 (2.42%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Vistra Energy Corp stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Vistra Energy stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 1.408 Buy Candidate Downgraded

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on January 21, 2025 - $170.21 ( 0.378%).