- Strong return on equity of 43.2%
- Solid financial health (Piotroski 5/9)
- Beat earnings estimates in 2 of the last 4 quarters
Vistra Energy stock downgraded from Hold/Accumulate to Sell Candidate after Friday trading session
(Updated on Jul 31, 2026)
The Vistra Energy stock price fell by -0.289% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $148.62 to $148.19. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.51% from a day low at $146.52 to a day high of $153.13. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -4.66% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -229 thousand shares and in total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $560.76 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 5.11% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $148.74 and $179.54 at the end of this 3-month period.
VST Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 3.77%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vistra Energy stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $153.96 and $157.49. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vistra Energy stock
Vistra Energy finds support from accumulated volume at $147.72 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $6.61 between high and low, or 4.51%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.91%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (VST) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect Vistra Energy Corp to open at $149.28, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $144.50 and $151.88, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$7.39 (+/-5.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Vistra Energy Corp takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.11% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $147.72 (0.32%) than the resistance at $160.23 (8.12%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Vistra Energy will release earnings BMO on Friday, August 07, 2026.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.95. We will update the financials statements for Vistra Energy, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.93% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Dividend Warning For VST
Dividend coming up for VST: Ex-dividend date (Monday 21st September, 2026) is 50 days away. The dividend is $0.230.Is Vistra Energy Corp stock A Buy?
The Vistra Energy stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Vistra Energy will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.091
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $149.28 ( 0.736%).
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VST Performance
Trading levels for VST
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 155.89 | 5.20% |
| R2 | 153.36 | 3.49% |
| R1 | 151.81 | 2.44% |
| Price | 148.19 | |
| S1 | 146.75 | -0.97% |
| S2 | 145.20 | -2.02% |
| S3 | 142.67 | -3.72% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 164.56 | 11.05% |
| R2 | 163.75 | 10.50% |
| R1 | 160.23 | 8.12% |
| Price | 148.19 | |
| S1 | 147.72 | -0.317% |
| S2 | 144.00 | -2.83% |
| S3 | 139.68 | -5.74% |
VST Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 30, 2026 | $0.230 | 0.155% |
| 2 | Apr 30, 2026 | Jun 22, 2026 | Jun 30, 2026 | $0.230 | 0.143% |
| 3 | Mar 20, 2026 | Mar 20, 2026 | Mar 31, 2026 | $0.228 | 0.136% |
| 4 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 31, 2025 | $0.227 | 0.121% |
| 5 | Jul 30, 2025 | Sep 19, 2025 | Sep 30, 2025 | $0.226 | 0.106% |
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