Vital Energy Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 07, 2025 Gain 0.72%

The Vital Energy, Inc. stock price fell by -4.05% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $17.53 to $16.82. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.82% from a day low at $16.66 to a day high of $17.63. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.57% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 17 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 438 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.36 million.

The stock is moving within a wide and horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vital Energy, Inc. stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $14.63 and $17.89 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

VTLE Signals & Forecast

The Vital Energy, Inc. stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $17.19. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $16.20. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, and so far it has fallen -7.48%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vital Energy, Inc. stock

Vital Energy, Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $16.77 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.97 between high and low, or 5.82%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.14%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $16.02 (-4.78%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VTLE) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vital Energy, Inc. to open at $17.04, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $16.37 and $17.27, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.90 (+/-5.51%) up or down from last closing price. If Vital Energy, Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.51% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $16.77 (0.30%) than the resistance at $17.29 (2.79%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Vital Energy, Inc. stock A Buy?

Vital Energy, Inc. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.998 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $17.04 ( 1.29%).

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