Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF downgraded from Buy Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Tuesday trading session.
(Updated on May 07, 2024)
The Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF price fell by -0.0948% on the last day (Tuesday, 7th May 2024) from $137.12 to $136.99. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.664% from a day low at $136.99 to a day high of $137.90. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.58% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -596 shares and in total, 22 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.97 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $129.00 and $140.36 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VTWV Signals & Forecast
The Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $134.47 and $134.42. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, May 06, 2024, and so far it has fallen -0.0948%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 28, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 28, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF
Vanguard Russell 2000 Value finds support from accumulated volume at $135.33 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.91 between high and low, or 0.664%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $132.17 (-3.52%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)
Trading Expectations (VTWV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 8th
For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 8th we expect Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF to open at $137.29, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $134.91 and $139.07, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.08 (+/-1.52%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.03% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $137.12 (0.09%) than the support at $135.33 (1.21%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Russell 2000 Value holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.245 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF of Wednesday, May 8, 2024
Fair opening price May 8, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$137.29 ( 0.221%) | $136.99 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VTWV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 138.20 | 0.89 % | |
R2 | 137.86 | 0.632 % | ||
R1 | 137.64 | 0.475 % | ||
Current price: | 136.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 136.95 | -0.0323 % | |
S2 | 136.73 | -0.189 % | ||
S3 | 136.38 | -0.443 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 138.20 | 0.88 % | |
R2 | 137.94 | 0.693 % | ||
R1 | 137.12 | 0.0949 % | ||
Current price | 136.99 | |||
Support | S1 | 135.33 | -1.21% | |
S2 | 134.73 | -1.65% | ||
S3 | 132.26 | -3.45% |
VTWV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.346 | 0.255% |
2 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 19, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.99 | 0.724% |
3 | Sep 19, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.794 | 0.675% |
4 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.515 | 0.422% |
5 | Mar 21, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $0.455 | 0.387% |
FAQ
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