Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Sep 19, 2025 Gain 1.17%

The Vanguard Emerging Markets Government ETF price gained 0.0593% on the last trading day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025), rising from $67.47 to $67.51. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 0.289% from a day low at $67.43 to a day high of $67.63. The price has fallen in 5 of the last 10 days but is still up by 0.07% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 227 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 600 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $40.52 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 2.57% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $68.87 and $70.36 at the end of this 3-month period.

VWOB Signals & Forecast

The Vanguard Emerging Markets Government ETF holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the ETF giving a positive forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $67.59. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $67.36. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, and so far it has fallen -1.04%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, May 28, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Emerging Markets Government ETF

Vanguard Emerging Markets Government finds support from accumulated volume at $67.16 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.195 between high and low, or 0.289%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 0.252%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $64.51 (-4.44%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 14 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (VWOB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF to open at $67.52, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $67.40 and $67.62, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.229 (+/-0.34%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.34% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $67.78 (0.40%) than the support at $67.16 (0.52%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Vanguard Emerging Markets Government Bond ETF ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Vanguard Emerging Markets Government ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 3.126 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $67.52 ( 0.0173%).

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