Xcel Brands Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jun 03, 2025 Loss -22.31%

The Xcel Brands stock price fell by -1.57% on the last day (Wednesday, 11th Jun 2025) from $1.91 to $1.88. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.56% from a day low at $1.87 to a day high of $1.99. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -28.57% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -5 thousand shares and in total, 15 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $28.76 thousand.

The stock lies in the lower part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $1.19 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 23.70% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $1.47 and $6.44 at the end of this 3-month period.

XELB Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Xcel Brands stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $2.05 and $2.45. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, March 25, 2025, and so far it has fallen -56.78%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Xcel Brands stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with periodic low trading volume this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.123 between high and low, or 6.56%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 14.32%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (XELB) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 12th

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 12th we expect Xcel Brands to open at $1.91, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $1.58 and $2.18, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.303 (+/-16.11%) up or down from last closing price. If Xcel Brands takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 32.22% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $1.98, some $0.100 (5.32%) from the current price of $1.88, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Is Xcel Brands stock A Buy?

The Xcel Brands stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Xcel Brands will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.971 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 12, 2025 - $1.91 ( 1.73%).

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