- Lower volatility than the market (beta 0.79)
- Mid-to-large cap with $49.6B market cap
- Pays a regular dividend of $0.25 per share
THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF upgraded to Buy Candidate
(Updated on Jun 10, 2026)
The THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF price fell by -0.457% on the last day (Wednesday, 10th Jun 2026) from $52.46 to $52.22. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.13% from a day low at $52.22 to a day high of $52.81. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.56% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -11 million shares and in total, 31 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.60 billion.
The ETF lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 6.06% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $53.38 and $57.71 at the end of this 3-month period.
XLF Signals & Forecast
The THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $51.92 and $51.66. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 20, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.779%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, June 02, 2026 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Tuesday, June 02, 2026 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF
THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND finds support from accumulated volume at $51.58 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.590 between high and low, or 1.13%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.16%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $50.06 (-4.13%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 36 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (XLF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 11th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 11th we expect THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $52.42, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $51.88 and $52.56, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.678 (+/-1.31%) up or down from last closing price. If THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.31% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $52.30 (0.15%) than the support at $51.58 (1.23%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for THE FINANCIAL SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.
Current score:
1.397
Buy Candidate
Upgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 11, 2026 - $52.42 ( 0.377%).
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XLF Performance
Trading levels for XLF
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 53.01 | 1.51% |
| R2 | 52.78 | 1.07% |
| R1 | 52.64 | 0.81% |
| Price | 52.22 | |
| S1 | 52.19 | -0.0550% |
| S2 | 52.05 | -0.322% |
| S3 | 51.83 | -0.753% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 52.46 | 0.460% |
| R2 | 52.43 | 0.402% |
| R1 | 52.30 | 0.153% |
| Price | 52.22 | |
| S1 | 51.58 | -1.23% |
| S2 | 49.37 | -5.46% |
| S3 | 49.08 | -6.01% |
XLF Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 23, 2026 | Mar 23, 2026 | Mar 25, 2026 | $0.251 | 0.510% |
| 2 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 22, 2025 | Dec 24, 2025 | $0.191 | 0.345% |
| 3 | Sep 22, 2025 | Sep 22, 2025 | Sep 24, 2025 | $0.178 | 0.330% |
| 4 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 23, 2025 | Jun 25, 2025 | $0.172 | 0.335% |
| 5 | Jan 09, 2025 | Mar 24, 2025 | Mar 26, 2025 | $0.179 | 0.356% |
FAQ
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