The Health Care Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 22, 2026 Gain 9.12%

The THE HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF price gained 2.63% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd Jul 2026), rising from $159.54 to $163.74. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.37% from a day low at $160.06 to a day high of $163.85. The price has risen in 8 of the last 10 days and is up by 8.65% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 2 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 12 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.03 billion.

The ETF has broken the weak rising the short-term trend up and an even stronger rate of rising is indicated. For any reaction back there will now be support on the roof on the current trend broken at $160.84, a level that may pose a second chance to hit a runner. According to fan-theory $171.82 will be the next possible trend-top level and thereby pose a resistance level that may not be broken at the first attempt.

XLV Signals & Forecast

The THE HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $158.85 and $151.69. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has risen 9.60%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF

On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $153.01 and $152.08. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, THE HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND finds support just below today's level at $153.01. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $152.08 and $146.71.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $3.79 (2.37%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.79%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $157.88 (-3.58%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XLV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect THE HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $162.55, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $162.44 and $165.04, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.60 (+/-1.60%) up or down from last closing price. If THE HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.60% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $153.01, some $10.73 (6.55%) from the current price of $163.74, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is THE HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

THE HEALTH CARE SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.

Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 6, 2026 - $162.55 ( 0.727%).

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