The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 16, 2026 Loss -2.83%

The THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR ETF price fell by -0.740% on the last day (Wednesday, 22nd Jul 2026) from $114.87 to $114.02. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.23% from a day low at $113.83 to a day high of $115.23. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.11% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 544 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 7 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $809.24 million.

The ETF lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -2.70% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $108.93 and $116.79 at the end of this 3-month period.

XLY Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $115.60 and $116.14. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, July 01, 2026, and so far it has fallen -3.45%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR ETF

THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR finds support from accumulated volume at $113.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.41 between high and low, or 1.23%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.23%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (XLY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 23rd

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 23rd we expect THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $114.36, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $113.07 and $114.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.90 (+/-1.68%) up or down from last closing price. If THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.68% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $113.76 (0.23%) than the resistance at $115.30 (1.12%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.

Current score: -2.637 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 23, 2026 - $114.36 ( 0.297%).

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