The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector Spdr Fund ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Jul 01, 2026

The THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR ETF price gained 0.691% on the last trading day (Wednesday, 1st Jul 2026), rising from $117.28 to $118.09. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.93% from a day low at $116.90 to a day high of $119.16. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -0.31% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 4 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 9 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.02 billion.

The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $115.08 and $124.46 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

XLY Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $115.58 and $117.12. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, June 25, 2026, and so far it has risen 4.18%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR ETF

THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR finds support from accumulated volume at $117.94 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.26 between high and low, or 1.93%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.80%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $112.84 (-4.44%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 4 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XLY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd

For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND to open at $118.05, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $116.98 and $119.20, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.23 (+/-1.91%) up or down from last closing price. If THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.91% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $117.94 (0.13%) than the resistance at $118.70 (0.52%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR SPDR FUND ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity, as there is a fair chance for THE CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY SELECT SECTOR ETF to perform well in the short-term period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 2.069 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 2, 2026 - $118.05 ( 0.0346%).

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