Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF Forecast
Green day on Thursday for Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF price gained 1.51% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from $108.82 to $110.46. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.11% from a day low at $108.35 to a day high of $110.64. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.1% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -115 thousand shares and in total, 82 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $9.04 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 9.43% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $117.43 and $130.10 at the end of this 3-month period.
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XMMO Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $111.42. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $109.68. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -3.83%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF
On the downside, the ETF finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $102.75 and $101.82. There is a natural risk involved when a ETF is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the ETF then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum finds support just below today's level at $102.75. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $101.82 and $97.57.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.29 (2.11%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.66%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (XMMO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF to open at $109.82, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $108.46 and $112.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.00 (+/-1.81%) up or down from last closing price. If Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.62% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $113.20 (2.48%) than the support at $102.75 (6.98%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF ETF A Buy?
Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score: -2.392 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Invesco S&P MidCap Momentum ETF of Friday, May 3, 2024
Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$109.82 ( 0.582%) | $110.46 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for XMMO
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 112.11 | 1.49 % | |
R2 | 111.23 | 0.698 % | ||
R1 | 110.69 | 0.209 % | ||
Current price: | 110.46 | |||
Support | S1 | 108.94 | -1.37 % | |
S2 | 108.40 | -1.86 % | ||
S3 | 107.53 | -2.65 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 114.69 | 3.83 % | |
R2 | 114.35 | 3.52 % | ||
R1 | 113.20 | 2.48 % | ||
Current price | 110.46 | |||
Support | S1 | 102.75 | -6.98% | |
S2 | 101.82 | -7.82% | ||
S3 | 97.57 | -11.67% |
XMMO Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 22, 2024 | $0.105 | 0.0915% |
2 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.126 | 0.142% |
3 | Jan 02, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 22, 2023 | $0.149 | 0.188% |
4 | Jan 02, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.124 | 0.162% |
5 | Jan 02, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 24, 2023 | $0.320 | 0.442% |
FAQ
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