Exxon Stock Forecast

Stock Analysis |
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Risk Assessment |
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Trading Strategy |
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Evaluation of Exxon stock downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Feb 14, 2025)
The Exxon stock price gained 0.102% on the last trading day (Friday, 14th Feb 2025), rising from $108.13 to $108.24. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.97% from a day low at $108.10 to a day high of $110.23. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 1.32% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -4 million shares and in total, 11 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.22 billion. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -8.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $90.50 and $102.48 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

XOM Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Thursday, December 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.59%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Exxon stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $109.12 and $108.74. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Exxon stock
Exxon finds support from accumulated volume at $108.13 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $2.13 between high and low, or 1.97%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.83%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (XOM) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Exxon Mobil Corporation to open at $108.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $105.99 and $110.49, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.25 (+/-2.08%) up or down from last closing price. If Exxon Mobil Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.16% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $108.13 (0.10%) than the resistance at $109.29 (0.97%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Exxon Mobil Corporation stock A Buy?
Exxon holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-1.429
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
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Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on February 18, 2025 - $108.86 ( 0.570%).XOM Performance
Trading levels for XOM
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 110.99 | 2.54% |
R2 | 110.17 | 1.79% |
R1 | 109.67 | 1.32% |
Price | 108.24 | |
S1 | 108.04 | -0.182% |
S2 | 107.54 | -0.646% |
S3 | 106.73 | -1.40% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |
---|---|---|
R3 | 112.68 | 4.10% |
R2 | 111.90 | 3.38% |
R1 | 109.29 | 0.97% |
Price | 108.24 | |
S1 | 108.13 | -0.102% |
S2 | 106.83 | -1.30% |
S3 | 106.54 | -1.57% |
XOM Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Feb 12, 2025 | Feb 12, 2025 | Mar 10, 2025 | $0.99 | 0.91% |
2 | Nov 01, 2024 | Nov 14, 2024 | Dec 10, 2024 | $0.99 | 0.88% |
3 | Aug 02, 2024 | Aug 15, 2024 | Sep 10, 2024 | $0.95 | 0.86% |
4 | Apr 26, 2024 | May 14, 2024 | Jun 10, 2024 | $0.95 | 0.84% |
5 | Feb 02, 2024 | Feb 13, 2024 | Mar 11, 2024 | $0.95 | 0.87% |
FAQ
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