Spdr S&p Retail Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jul 09, 2026 Gain 4.10%

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF price gained 1.55% on the last trading day (Thursday, 16th Jul 2026), rising from $89.10 to $90.48. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.47% from a day low at $89.06 to a day high of $91.26. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.01% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -779 thousand shares and in total, 4 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $365.76 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the upper part of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $92.19 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.88% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $85.97 and $96.69 at the end of this 3-month period.

XRT Signals & Forecast

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $87.98 and $86.36. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 15, 2026, and so far it has risen 14.40%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR S&P Retail ETF

SPDR S&P Retail finds support from accumulated volume at $86.95 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the ETF tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this ETF. During the last day, the ETF moved $2.20 between high and low, or 2.47%. For the last week the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.08%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $87.57 (-3.22%) (This ETF has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 41 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XRT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 17th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 17th we expect SPDR S&P Retail ETF to open at $90.27, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $89.60 and $91.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.75 (+/-1.96%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR S&P Retail ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $86.95, some $3.53 (3.90%) from the current price of $90.48, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is SPDR S&P Retail ETF ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for SPDR S&P Retail ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 4.562 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 17, 2026 - $90.27 ( 0.236%).

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