Spdr S&p Retail Etf ETF Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Jun 08, 2026 Gain 5.93%

The SPDR S&P Retail ETF price gained 1.32% on the last trading day (Friday, 26th Jun 2026), rising from $87.56 to $88.72. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.64% from a day low at $87.37 to a day high of $88.80. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 1.23% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -6 million shares and in total, 47 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $4.14 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.28% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $84.23 and $94.69 at the end of this 3-month period.

XRT Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The SPDR S&P Retail ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $86.67 and $83.94. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, May 15, 2026, and so far it has risen 12.18%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR S&P Retail ETF

SPDR S&P Retail finds support from accumulated volume at $86.95 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.43 (1.64%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.87%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $85.92 (-3.15%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 28 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (XRT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect SPDR S&P Retail ETF to open at $88.30, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $87.80 and $89.64, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.83 (+/-2.09%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR S&P Retail ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.09% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no resistance above and support from accumulated volume @ $86.95, some $1.77 (2.00%) from the current price of $88.72, our system finds the risk reward attractive.

Is SPDR S&P Retail ETF ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for SPDR S&P Retail ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 4.156 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 29, 2026 - $88.30 ( 0.477%).

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