SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION SPDR(R) ETF Forecast
Red day on Wednesday for SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION SPDR(R) ETF after losing 0.146%
(Updated on May 01, 2024)
The SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION SPDR(R) ETF price fell by -0.146% on the last day (Wednesday, 1st May 2024) from $75.57 to $75.46. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.16% from a day low at $75.15 to a day high of $76.77. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.03% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 5 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 11 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $834.66 thousand.
The ETF has broken the falling short-term trend down. Firstly a stronger fallrate is indicated, but false breaks and "sell-off" may occur. However, a further fall is realistic and any reactions back to the breaking point ($77.13) are considered to be a "second chance" to get out. According to the fan-theory $71.24 will represent the new bottom line of the next trend, but it is far too early to say this for certain.
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XTN Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION SPDR(R) ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $77.39 and $80.45. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, March 28, 2024, and so far it has fallen -10.98%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION SPDR(R) gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs".
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION SPDR(R) ETF
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the ETF may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.62 between high and low, or 2.16%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.43%.
SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION SPDR(R) is oversold on RSI14 (24). Some ETFS may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (XTN) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 2nd
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 2nd we expect SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION ETF SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION ETF to open at $75.79, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $74.08 and $76.84, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.38 (+/-1.83%) up or down from last closing price. If SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION ETF SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.65% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $82.39, some $6.93 (9.18%) from the current price of $75.46, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION ETF SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION ETF ETF A Buy?
SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION SPDR(R) holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF.
Current score: -3.481 Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION ETF SPDR(R) S&P(R) TRANSPORTATION ETF of Thursday, May 2, 2024
Fair opening price May 2, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$75.79 ( 0.443%) | $75.46 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for XTN
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 77.42 | 2.60 % | |
R2 | 76.80 | 1.77 % | ||
R1 | 76.41 | 1.27 % | ||
Current price: | 75.46 | |||
Support | S1 | 75.17 | -0.379 % | |
S2 | 74.79 | -0.89 % | ||
S3 | 74.17 | -1.71 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 83.05 | 10.06 % | |
R2 | 82.55 | 9.40 % | ||
R1 | 82.39 | 9.18 % | ||
Current price | 75.46 | |||
Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
S2 | 0 | . | ||
S3 | 0 | . |
XTN Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 18, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | $0.204 | 0.246% |
2 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | Dec 18, 2023 | $0.135 | 0.163% |
3 | Jan 26, 2023 | Sep 18, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | $0.187 | 0.248% |
4 | Jan 26, 2023 | Jun 20, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | $0.118 | 0.150% |
5 | Jan 26, 2023 | Mar 20, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | $0.173 | 0.253% |
FAQ
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