Zumiez Inc. Stock Forecast
Red day on Friday for Zumiez Inc.
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Zumiez Inc. stock price fell by -0.177% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $16.98 to $16.95. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.22% from a day low at $16.83 to a day high of $17.54. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 15.78% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -146 thousand shares and in total, 158 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.68 million.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at $17.08 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -17.94% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $9.55 and $14.02 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ZUMZ Signals & Forecast
The Zumiez Inc. stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $16.20 and $14.92. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 24, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.45%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Zumiez Inc. stock
Zumiez Inc. finds support from accumulated volume at $16.90 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.710 between high and low, or 4.22%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.10%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $16.26 (-4.06%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ZUMZ) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Zumiez Inc. to open at $17.11, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $16.27 and $17.63, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.677 (+/-3.99%) up or down from last closing price. If Zumiez Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 7.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $16.98 (0.18%) than the support at $16.90 (0.29%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Zumiez Inc. stock A Buy?
Zumiez Inc. holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.
Current score: 0.730 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Zumiez Inc. of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $17.11 ( 0.92%) | $16.95 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ZUMZ
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 17.82 | 5.11 % | |
| R2 | 17.55 | 3.51 % | ||
| R1 | 17.38 | 2.52 % | ||
| Current price: | 16.95 | |||
| Support | S1 | 16.84 | -0.676 % | |
| S2 | 16.67 | -1.66 % | ||
| S3 | 16.40 | -3.26 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 17.89 | 5.55 % | |
| R2 | 17.20 | 1.47 % | ||
| R1 | 16.98 | 0.177 % | ||
| Current price | 16.95 | |||
| Support | S1 | 16.90 | -0.295% | |
| S2 | 14.52 | -14.34% | ||
| S3 | 13.60 | -19.76% |
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