Allegiant Travel Company Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Allegiant Travel Company stock price down 1.64% on Friday
(Updated on Apr 26, 2024)
The Allegiant Travel Company stock price fell by -1.64% on the last day (Friday, 26th Apr 2024) from $57.99 to $57.04. It has now fallen 5 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.29% from a day low at $56.77 to a day high of $58.64. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -6.87% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -282 thousand shares and in total, 358 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $20.42 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $56.72 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -23.62% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $43.32 and $52.72 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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ALGT Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Allegiant Travel Company stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $60.29 and $66.38. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 27, 2024, and so far it has fallen -25.19%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Allegiant Travel Company stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $1.87 between high and low, or 3.29%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.56%.
Allegiant Travel Company is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ALGT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Allegiant Travel Company to open at $57.48, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $54.65 and $59.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.39 (+/-4.20%) up or down from last closing price. If Allegiant Travel Company takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.39% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $57.99, some $0.95 (1.67%) from the current price of $57.04, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Earnings coming up
Allegiant Travel Company will release earnings BMO on Wednesday, May 01, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is -$0.210. We will update the financials statements for Allegiant Travel Company, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 4.75% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Allegiant Travel Company stock A Buy?
Allegiant Travel Company holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock.
Current score: -6.999 Strong Sell Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Allegiant Travel Company of Monday, April 29, 2024
| Fair opening price April 29, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $57.48 ( 0.777%) | $57.04 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ALGT
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 59.35 | 4.06 % | |
| R2 | 58.64 | 2.80 % | ||
| R1 | 58.20 | 2.03 % | ||
| Current price: | 57.04 | |||
| Support | S1 | 56.77 | -0.475 % | |
| S2 | 56.33 | -1.25 % | ||
| S3 | 55.61 | -2.50 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 67.61 | 18.53 % | |
| R2 | 62.15 | 8.96 % | ||
| R1 | 57.99 | 1.67 % | ||
| Current price | 57.04 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
ALGT Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 14, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | Mar 01, 2024 | $0.600 | 0.83% |
| 2 | Nov 14, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.600 | 0.84% |
| 3 | Jul 24, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | Sep 01, 2023 | $0.600 | 0.675% |
| 4 | Jan 30, 2020 | Feb 28, 2020 | Mar 12, 2020 | $0.700 | 0.683% |
| 5 | Nov 08, 2019 | Nov 21, 2019 | Dec 12, 2019 | $0.700 | 0.408% |
FAQ
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