Alliance Resource Stock Forecast
Stronger technical forecast for Alliance Resource stock price after Thursday trading.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Alliance Resource stock price gained 1.51% on the last trading day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024), rising from $21.18 to $21.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.37% from a day low at $21.10 to a day high of $21.60. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 2.09% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 186 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 367 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $7.90 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.71% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $19.91 and $23.87 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ARLP Signals & Forecast
The Alliance Resource stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $21.19 and $20.44. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, March 04, 2024, and so far it has risen 16.85%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 15, 2024 in the short-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Golden Star
The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Friday, March 15, 2024 in the short-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alliance Resource stock
Alliance Resource finds support from accumulated volume at $21.24 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.500 between high and low, or 2.37%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.19%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $20.74 (-3.52%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 37 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ARLP) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Alliance Resource Partners to open at $21.40, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $21.18 and $21.82, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.320 (+/-1.49%) up or down from last closing price. If Alliance Resource Partners takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.98% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $21.24 (1.21%) than the resistance at $21.77 (1.26%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Earnings coming up
Alliance Resource will release earnings BMO on Monday, April 29, 2024.The consensus among the analysts for the expected earnings (EPS) is $1.01. We will update the financials statements for Alliance Resource, that can be found here as soon as the records are public. Our systems has calculated a possible swing of +/- 6.93% in the first trading day after earnings release.
Is Alliance Resource Partners stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Alliance Resource stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 3.717 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Alliance Resource Partners of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$21.40 ( 0.465%) | $21.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ARLP
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 21.90 | 1.86 % | |
R2 | 21.71 | 0.97 % | ||
R1 | 21.59 | 0.423 % | ||
Current price: | 21.50 | |||
Support | S1 | 21.21 | -1.35 % | |
S2 | 21.09 | -1.90 % | ||
S3 | 20.90 | -2.79 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
R2 | 0 | . | ||
R1 | 21.77 | 1.26 % | ||
Current price | 21.50 | |||
Support | S1 | 21.24 | -1.21% | |
S2 | 21.20 | -1.40% | ||
S3 | 20.57 | -4.33% |
ARLP Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jan 26, 2024 | Feb 07, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | $0.700 | 3.54% |
2 | Jan 26, 2024 | Feb 06, 2024 | Feb 14, 2024 | $0.700 | 3.54% |
3 | Oct 25, 2023 | Nov 06, 2023 | Nov 14, 2023 | $0.700 | 3.13% |
4 | Jul 28, 2023 | Aug 04, 2023 | Aug 14, 2023 | $0.700 | 3.51% |
5 | Apr 28, 2023 | May 05, 2023 | May 15, 2023 | $0.700 | 3.65% |
FAQ
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