Fidelity Japanese Values plc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Evaluation of Fidelity Japanese Values plc stock downgraded after the last trading session.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Fidelity Japanese Values plc stock price fell by -1.72% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from £174.50 to £171.50. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.51% from a day low at £171.50 to a day high of £175.80. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.65% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 127 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 211 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately £36.17 million.
The stock has broken the horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately £173.60 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.
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FJV.L Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Fidelity Japanese Values plc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at £173.50 and £179.21. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, March 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -7.30%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Friday, March 22, 2024 with a target of £176.27. Despite whether the objective of the signal formation has been reached the stock may continue to fall.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Fidelity Japanese Values plc stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved £4.30 between high and low, or 2.51%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.31%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (FJV.L) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Fidelity Japanese Values plc to open at £172.93, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between £168.23 and £174.77, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-£3.27 (+/-1.91%) up or down from last closing price. If Fidelity Japanese Values plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.81% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ £178.50, some £7.00 (4.08%) from the current price of £171.50, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Fidelity Japanese Values plc stock A Buy?
Fidelity Japanese Values plc holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -3.888 Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Fidelity Japanese Values plc of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| £172.93 ( 0.84%) | £171.50 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for FJV.L
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 177.23 | 3.34 % | |
| R2 | 175.59 | 2.39 % | ||
| R1 | 174.58 | 1.79 % | ||
| Current price: | 171.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 171.29 | -0.122 % | |
| S2 | 170.28 | -0.714 % | ||
| S3 | 168.63 | -1.67 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 180.00 | 4.96 % | |
| R2 | 179.00 | 4.37 % | ||
| R1 | 178.50 | 4.08 % | ||
| Current price | 171.50 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FJV Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 12, 1996 | Mar 25, 1996 | May 03, 1996 | £0.100 | 0.121% |
| 2 | Mar 02, 1995 | Apr 03, 1995 | May 23, 1995 | £0.100 | 0.145% |
FAQ
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