Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF Forecast
Weaker technical forecast for Vanguard Russell 2000 Value as ETF downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF price fell by -0.661% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $133.14 to $132.26. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.30% from a day low at $130.64 to a day high of $132.34. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.52% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -13 thousand shares and in total, 27 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $3.55 million.
The ETF is moving within a horizontal trend and further movements within this trend can be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF with a 90% probability to be traded between $130.74 and $142.61 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and ETFS seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. ETFS turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.
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VTWV Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, April 17, 2024, and so far it has risen 2.87%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $134.46. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $131.11. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 28, 2023 in the long-term chart.
Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Golden Star 12 Months
The ETF had a Golden Star Signal on Wednesday, June 28, 2023 in the long-term chart.Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the ETF in question.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF
Vanguard Russell 2000 Value finds support from accumulated volume at $130.28 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.70 between high and low, or 1.30%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.51%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $125.12 (-5.40%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 6 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (VTWV) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF to open at $131.75, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $130.09 and $134.43, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.17 (+/-1.64%) up or down from last closing price. If Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $130.28 (1.50%) than the resistance at $134.73 (1.87%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF ETF A Buy?
Vanguard Russell 2000 Value holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: -0.363 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Vanguard Russell 2000 Value ETF of Friday, April 26, 2024
Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$131.75 ( 0.387%) | $132.26 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for VTWV
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 133.45 | 0.90 % | |
R2 | 132.80 | 0.409 % | ||
R1 | 132.40 | 0.105 % | ||
Current price: | 132.26 | |||
Support | S1 | 131.10 | -0.88 % | |
S2 | 130.69 | -1.18 % | ||
S3 | 130.04 | -1.68 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 135.33 | 2.32 % | |
R2 | 134.81 | 1.93 % | ||
R1 | 134.73 | 1.87 % | ||
Current price | 132.26 | |||
Support | S1 | 130.28 | -1.50% | |
S2 | 129.62 | -2.00% | ||
S3 | 129.06 | -2.42% |
VTWV Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 21, 2024 | Mar 26, 2024 | $0.346 | 0.255% |
2 | Dec 15, 2023 | Dec 19, 2023 | Dec 22, 2023 | $0.99 | 0.724% |
3 | Sep 19, 2023 | Sep 21, 2023 | Sep 26, 2023 | $0.794 | 0.675% |
4 | Jun 21, 2023 | Jun 23, 2023 | Jun 28, 2023 | $0.515 | 0.422% |
5 | Mar 21, 2023 | Mar 23, 2023 | Mar 28, 2023 | $0.455 | 0.387% |
FAQ
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