American Software Stock Forecast
American Software stock downgraded from Sell Candidate to Strong Sell Candidate after Thursday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 25, 2024)
The American Software stock price fell by -2.41% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Apr 2024) from $10.37 to $10.12. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.08% from a day low at $10.08 to a day high of $10.29. The price has fallen in 8 of the last 10 days and is down by -15.31% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 149 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $1.51 million.
The stock has broken the wide and horizontal trend down. Breaks like this are often followed by swift and strong movements, and any correction down to the breakline at approximately $10.20 is considered to be a "second chance" to get out before further fall. It is, however, important to note that false breaks may appear and that the price may move back into the horizontal trend. A break on increasing volume is considered to be more significant and reliable than breaks on low volume.
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AMSWA Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The American Software stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $10.47 and $11.16. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, April 10, 2024, and so far it has fallen -16.09%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Software stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.210 between high and low, or 2.08%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.99%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AMSWA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect American Software to open at $10.16, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.80 and $10.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.315 (+/-3.11%) up or down from last closing price. If American Software takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.23% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $11.20, some $1.08 (10.67%) from the current price of $10.12, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is American Software stock A Buy?
American Software holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.433 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for American Software of Friday, April 26, 2024
| Fair opening price April 26, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $10.16 ( 0.428%) | $10.12 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for AMSWA
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 10.37 | 2.50 % | |
| R2 | 10.29 | 1.71 % | ||
| R1 | 10.24 | 1.22 % | ||
| Current price: | 10.12 | |||
| Support | S1 | 10.08 | -0.364 % | |
| S2 | 10.03 | -0.85 % | ||
| S3 | 9.95 | -1.65 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 11.49 | 13.54 % | |
| R2 | 11.46 | 13.24 % | ||
| R1 | 11.20 | 10.67 % | ||
| Current price | 10.12 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
AMSWA Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feb 22, 2024 | May 02, 2024 | May 17, 2024 | $0.110 | 1.09% |
| 2 | Nov 20, 2023 | Feb 01, 2024 | Feb 16, 2024 | $0.110 | 1.01% |
| 3 | Aug 23, 2023 | Nov 16, 2023 | Dec 01, 2023 | $0.110 | 1.08% |
| 4 | Jun 01, 2023 | Aug 10, 2023 | Aug 25, 2023 | $0.110 | 0.93% |
| 5 | Feb 22, 2023 | May 02, 2023 | May 17, 2023 | $0.110 | 0.87% |
FAQ
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