Weaker technical forecast for American Software as stock downgraded to Sell Candidate.
(Updated on Dec 08, 2023)
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The stock lies in the middle of a wide and falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -12.65% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $8.13 and $9.40 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
AMSWA Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Monday, November 20, 2023, and so far it has risen 5.40%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The American Software stock holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the stock giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $10.55. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the short-term average at $10.15. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Volume fell during the last trading day while price remained unchanged. This may be an early warning, but it may also not. We still recommend that you pay attention over the next couple of days.
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Support, Risk & Stop-loss for American Software stock
American Software finds support from accumulated volume at $9.99 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.178 between high and low, or 1.76%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.69%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AMSWA) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 11th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 11th we expect American Software to open at $10.16, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $9.88 and $10.42, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.271 (+/-2.67%) up or down from last closing price. If American Software takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.34% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $9.99 (1.58%) than the resistance at $11.16 (9.95%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is American Software stock A Buy?
American Software holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Sell candidate.
Current score: -1.288 Open Broker AccountSell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for American Software of Monday, December 11, 2023
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
|Fair opening price December 11, 2023||Current price|
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Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
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