First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF Forecast

First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF upgraded from Sell Candidate to Hold/Accumulate after Friday trading session.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)

QTEC Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 19, 2024, and so far it has risen 5.06%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $185.39. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $181.32. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF

First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index finds support from accumulated volume at $182.01 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $1.68 between high and low, or 0.92%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.83%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $174.55 (-4.49%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 10 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (QTEC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund to open at $182.70, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $179.19 and $186.31, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$3.56 (+/-1.95%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.90% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $182.01 (0.40%) than the resistance at $189.83 (3.87%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.403 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Opening Price for First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund of Monday, May 6, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.