First Trust Nasdaq-100- Technology Index Fund ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Jul 28, 2026 Gain 2.50%

The First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF price gained 0.269% on the last trading day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026), rising from $297.72 to $298.52. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 3.63% from a day low at $295.22 to a day high of $305.93. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.58% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -29 thousand shares and in total, 223 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $66.55 million. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.

The ETF lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 4.00% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $297.37 and $355.42 at the end of this 3-month period.

QTEC Signals & Forecast

There are mixed signals in the ETF today. The First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF holds a buy signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, the long-term average holds a general sell signal. Since the longterm average is above the short-term average there is a general sell signal in the ETF giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. On further gains, the ETF will meet resistance from the long-term Moving Average at $313.83. On a fall, the ETF will find some support from the short-term average at $295.33. A break-up through the long-term average will give another buy signal, while a fall below the short-term average will add another sell signal and strengthen the general signal. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, and so far it has risen 4.56%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The ETF should be watched closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF

First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index finds support from accumulated volume at $297.72 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $10.71 between high and low, or 3.63%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 3.14%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $286.40 (-4.06%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (QTEC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund to open at $299.89, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $293.52 and $303.52, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$10.00 (+/-3.41%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.41% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $298.97 (0.15%) than the support at $297.72 (0.27%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.025 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $299.89 ( 0.459%).

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