First Trust Nasdaq-100- Technology Index Fund ETF Forecast

Buy candidate since Jul 09, 2026 Loss -0.20%

The First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF price fell by -0.196% on the last day (Friday, 10th Jul 2026) from $321.67 to $321.04. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.55% from a day low at $317.24 to a day high of $322.17. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -0.56% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the ETF, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the ETF. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -70 thousand shares and in total, 150 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $48.24 million.

The ETF lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $315.67 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 33.38% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $421.04 and $473.05 at the end of this 3-month period.

QTEC Signals & Forecast

The First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the ETF, but the ETF has a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $318.39 and $318.80. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, June 22, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.38%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF

First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index finds support from accumulated volume at $317.57 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the ETF moved $4.93 between high and low, or 1.55%. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.12%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $305.78 (-4.75%) (This ETF has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 13 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (QTEC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 13th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 13th we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund to open at $320.15, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $315.60 and $326.48, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$10.89 (+/-3.45%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.45% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $322.84 (0.56%) than the support at $317.57 (1.08%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund ETF A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.212 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 13, 2026 - $320.15 ( 0.277%).

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