First Trust Nasdaq-100- Technology Index Fund ETF Forecast

Hold candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF price fell by -1.53% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $227.90 to $224.42. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 2.83% from a day low at $222.84 to a day high of $229.14. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -7.43% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 9 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 124 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $27.94 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to rise 13.09% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $253.81 and $283.37 at the end of this 3-month period.

QTEC Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $231.15 and $234.75. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, October 27, 2025, and so far it has fallen -7.93%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index ETF

First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index finds support from accumulated volume at $213.61 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $6.30 (2.83%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 2.20%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $214.87 (-4.25%) (This ETF has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 15 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (QTEC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund to open at $225.47, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $221.88 and $226.96, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.09 (+/-2.29%) up or down from last closing price. If First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.29% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $224.76 (0.15%) than the support at $213.61 (4.82%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index Fund ETF A Buy?

First Trust NASDAQ-100- Technology Index holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold candidate.

Current score: -0.724 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $225.47 ( 0.466%).

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