American Financial Group Earnings Calls
| Release date | Apr 29, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $2.55 |
| EPS actual | $2.47 |
| EPS Surprise | -3.14% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.701B |
| Revenue actual | 1.664B |
| Revenue Surprise | -2.19% |
| Release date | Feb 03, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $3.18 |
| EPS actual | $3.65 |
| EPS Surprise | 14.78% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.898B |
| Revenue actual | 1.444B |
| Revenue Surprise | -23.91% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.52 |
| EPS actual | $2.69 |
| EPS Surprise | 6.75% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.978B |
| Revenue actual | 2.304B |
| Revenue Surprise | 16.47% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.08 |
| EPS actual | $2.14 |
| EPS Surprise | 2.88% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.889B |
| Revenue actual | 1.924B |
| Revenue Surprise | 1.85% |
Last 4 Quarters for American Financial Group
Below you can see how AFG performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $124.32 |
| EPS estimate | $2.08 |
| EPS actual | $2.14 |
| EPS surprise | 2.88% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | $123.80 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $124.90 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $122.42 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $123.60 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $124.32 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $127.66 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $127.91 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $129.34 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $128.37 |
| 4 days before | 0.420% |
| 4 days after | 3.26% |
| On release day | 2.69% |
| Change in period | 3.69% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $131.50 |
| EPS estimate | $2.52 |
| EPS actual | $2.69 |
| EPS surprise | 6.75% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $129.81 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $131.01 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $131.68 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $130.38 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $131.50 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $135.18 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $141.42 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $143.06 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $142.31 |
| 4 days before | 1.30% |
| 4 days after | 8.22% |
| On release day | 2.80% |
| Change in period | 9.63% |
| Release date | Feb 03, 2026 |
| Price on release | $130.25 |
| EPS estimate | $3.18 |
| EPS actual | $3.65 |
| EPS surprise | 14.78% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | $128.45 |
| Jan 29, 2026 | $128.81 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | $130.27 |
| Feb 02, 2026 | $130.14 |
| Feb 03, 2026 | $130.25 |
| Feb 04, 2026 | $126.18 |
| Feb 05, 2026 | $129.68 |
| Feb 06, 2026 | $131.04 |
| Feb 09, 2026 | $129.64 |
| 4 days before | 1.40% |
| 4 days after | -0.468% |
| On release day | -3.12% |
| Change in period | 0.93% |
| Release date | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Price on release | $129.42 |
| EPS estimate | $2.55 |
| EPS actual | $2.47 |
| EPS surprise | -3.14% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | $132.23 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | $130.23 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | $129.55 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $131.37 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $129.42 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $133.27 |
| May 01, 2026 | $131.64 |
| May 04, 2026 | $131.40 |
| May 05, 2026 | $131.63 |
| 4 days before | -2.13% |
| 4 days after | 1.71% |
| On release day | 2.97% |
| Change in period | -0.454% |
American Financial Group Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
AFG reported a strong start to 2026 with core net operating earnings of $2.47 per share (up 36% YoY) and an annualized core operating return on equity of 17% driven by improved underwriting margins across their specialty P&C businesses. Specialty P&C underwriting performance was notable: a 90.3 combined ratio for the Specialty Property & Transportation group overall improvements across Specialty Casualty and Specialty Financial groups, favorable prior-year reserve development, and continued renewal rate increases (average renewals up ~5% ex-workers' comp). Investment income benefited from higher invested balances and ~5.25% yields on fixed maturities, though alternatives produced a slight loss this quarter (notably a $13M mark-to-market on CLOs); management remains optimistic on alternatives with a long-term return target of ~10%+. AFG agreed to sell the Charleston Harbor Resort and Marina and expects to recognize ~ $125M pretax core operating gain on the sale, with proceeds providing flexibility for share repurchases, special dividends, or redeployment into higher-return opportunities. Capital return continued: nearly $260M returned in the quarter (including $60M buybacks, a $1.50 special dividend and the regular dividend). Management expects continued excess capital generation for 2026 and reiterated focus on disciplined underwriting, targeted pricing above loss trends in select lines (e.g., commercial auto liability), and opportunistic capital deployment to enhance shareholder value.
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