American Financial Group Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.35 |
| EPS actual | $2.69 |
| EPS Surprise | 14.47% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.842B |
| Revenue actual | 2.304B |
| Revenue Surprise | 25.08% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.08 |
| EPS actual | $2.14 |
| EPS Surprise | 2.88% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.889B |
| Revenue actual | 1.924B |
| Revenue Surprise | 1.85% |
| Release date | May 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.03 |
| EPS actual | $1.81 |
| EPS Surprise | -10.84% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.698B |
| Revenue actual | 1.856B |
| Revenue Surprise | 9.30% |
| Release date | Feb 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $3.15 |
| EPS actual | $3.12 |
| EPS Surprise | -0.95% |
| Revenue estimate | 2.042B |
| Revenue actual | 2.148B |
| Revenue Surprise | 5.21% |
Last 4 Quarters for American Financial Group
Below you can see how AFG performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $136.02 |
| EPS estimate | $3.15 |
| EPS actual | $3.12 |
| EPS surprise | -0.95% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025 | $137.40 |
| Jan 30, 2025 | $138.17 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $136.56 |
| Feb 03, 2025 | $136.70 |
| Feb 04, 2025 | $136.02 |
| Feb 05, 2025 | $127.54 |
| Feb 06, 2025 | $128.65 |
| Feb 07, 2025 | $126.57 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $126.54 |
| 4 days before | -1.00% |
| 4 days after | -6.97% |
| On release day | -6.23% |
| Change in period | -7.90% |
| Release date | May 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $129.97 |
| EPS estimate | $2.03 |
| EPS actual | $1.81 |
| EPS surprise | -10.84% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 30, 2025 | $126.66 |
| May 01, 2025 | $126.11 |
| May 02, 2025 | $129.69 |
| May 05, 2025 | $129.11 |
| May 06, 2025 | $129.97 |
| May 07, 2025 | $121.99 |
| May 08, 2025 | $122.80 |
| May 09, 2025 | $121.82 |
| May 12, 2025 | $123.47 |
| 4 days before | 2.61% |
| 4 days after | -5.00% |
| On release day | -6.14% |
| Change in period | -2.52% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $124.32 |
| EPS estimate | $2.08 |
| EPS actual | $2.14 |
| EPS surprise | 2.88% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | $123.80 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $124.90 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $122.42 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $123.60 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $124.32 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $127.66 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $127.91 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $129.34 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $128.37 |
| 4 days before | 0.420% |
| 4 days after | 3.26% |
| On release day | 2.69% |
| Change in period | 3.69% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $131.50 |
| EPS estimate | $2.35 |
| EPS actual | $2.69 |
| EPS surprise | 14.47% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $129.81 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $131.01 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $131.68 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $130.38 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $131.50 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $135.18 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $141.42 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $143.06 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $142.31 |
| 4 days before | 1.30% |
| 4 days after | 8.22% |
| On release day | 2.80% |
| Change in period | 9.63% |
American Financial Group Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
American Financial Group (AFG) reported solid 2025 third quarter results with core net operating earnings of $2.69 per share (up 16% YoY) and an annualized core operating ROE of 19%. Key drivers included strong underwriting margins in Specialty P&C businesses, modestly higher net investment income (up ~5% YoY) driven by higher yields on fixed maturities, and improving performance in parts of the alternative investment portfolio (multifamily showing signs of recovery). The company highlighted disciplined underwriting and selective growth across its 30+ specialty businesses, with average renewal pricing up ~5% overall (8% ex-workers’ comp). Combined ratios were generally acceptable: Specialty P&C 93.0%, Property & Transportation ~94.1%, Specialty & Casualty ~95.8%, and Specialty Financial ~81.1%. Crop premiums timing impacted quarter-to-quarter comparables; most crop profitability is still expected to be recorded in Q4. Capital deployment remains active: AFG paid a regular dividend in Q3, raised the quarterly dividend 10% in October, and declared a $2.00 special dividend (~$167 million total payable Nov. 26), noting $54 per share (~$4.6 billion) of special dividends since 2021. Management expects continued excess capital through 2025 into 2026 and will evaluate acquisitions, special dividends, and buybacks as opportunities arise. The company reiterated confidence in its reserve strength, underwriting discipline, and long-term investment return expectations (alternatives targeting ~10%+ annually).
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