Aflac Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.77 |
| EPS actual | $2.49 |
| EPS Surprise | 40.68% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.366B |
| Revenue actual | 4.793B |
| Revenue Surprise | 9.79% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.70 |
| EPS actual | $1.78 |
| EPS Surprise | 4.71% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.33B |
| Revenue actual | 4.218B |
| Revenue Surprise | -2.58% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.67 |
| EPS actual | $1.66 |
| EPS Surprise | -0.599% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.278B |
| Revenue actual | 3.453B |
| Revenue Surprise | -19.28% |
| Release date | Feb 05, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.62 |
| EPS actual | $1.56 |
| EPS Surprise | -3.70% |
| Revenue estimate | 4.33B |
| Revenue actual | 5.498B |
| Revenue Surprise | 26.98% |
Last 4 Quarters for Aflac
Below you can see how AFL performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $107.29 |
| EPS estimate | $1.62 |
| EPS actual | $1.56 |
| EPS surprise | -3.70% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2025 | $108.25 |
| Jan 31, 2025 | $107.38 |
| Feb 03, 2025 | $106.71 |
| Feb 04, 2025 | $106.76 |
| Feb 05, 2025 | $107.29 |
| Feb 06, 2025 | $103.08 |
| Feb 07, 2025 | $103.58 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $102.61 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $102.99 |
| 4 days before | -0.89% |
| 4 days after | -4.01% |
| On release day | -3.92% |
| Change in period | -4.86% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $108.68 |
| EPS estimate | $1.67 |
| EPS actual | $1.66 |
| EPS surprise | -0.599% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | $109.14 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $107.94 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $108.49 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $108.60 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $108.68 |
| May 01, 2025 | $103.52 |
| May 02, 2025 | $105.53 |
| May 05, 2025 | $105.75 |
| May 06, 2025 | $105.90 |
| 4 days before | -0.421% |
| 4 days after | -2.56% |
| On release day | -4.75% |
| Change in period | -2.97% |
| Release date | Aug 05, 2025 |
| Price on release | $98.92 |
| EPS estimate | $1.70 |
| EPS actual | $1.78 |
| EPS surprise | 4.71% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2025 | $98.59 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $99.36 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $98.09 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $98.56 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $98.92 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $102.31 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $102.28 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $103.52 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $104.17 |
| 4 days before | 0.335% |
| 4 days after | 5.31% |
| On release day | 3.43% |
| Change in period | 5.66% |
| Release date | Nov 04, 2025 |
| Price on release | $108.81 |
| EPS estimate | $1.77 |
| EPS actual | $2.49 |
| EPS surprise | 40.68% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2025 | $105.70 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $106.84 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $107.19 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $106.97 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $108.81 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $111.24 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $113.70 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $114.09 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $113.59 |
| 4 days before | 2.94% |
| 4 days after | 4.39% |
| On release day | 2.23% |
| Change in period | 7.46% |
Aflac Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
Aflac reported solid Q3 2025 results with net EPS of $3.08 and adjusted EPS of $2.49, driven materially by actuarial assumption remeasurements (unlock) that produced significant reserve gains this quarter. Key operational highlights: strong sales in Japan (11.8% y/y), led by a 42% increase in cancer insurance (Miraito) and an encouraging response to the repriced Tsumitasu product that is attracting younger customers; U.S. new sales grew 2.8% (Q3 $390M), persistency remained strong (U.S. 79%, Japan 93.3%), and targeted growth initiatives (dental, lab services, group life & disability) are progressing but not yet at full scale. Financial and capital position: adjusted ROE ~19.1% (22.1% ex-FX), adjusted book value/share +6.3% ex-FX, SMR >900%, estimated ESR (USP) >250%, estimated combined RBC >600%, holding company liquidity $4.5B (well above minimum) and leverage ~22%. Management deployed record capital in the quarter: $1.0B share repurchases and $309M dividends. Investment portfolio performance was broadly solid, though they increased CECL reserves modestly for commercial real estate and some middle-market loans. Guidance/expectations: Japan 2025 benefit ratio now expected 58%–60% and expense ratio at the lower end of 20%–23% (pretax margin 35%–38%); U.S. benefit ratio expected at the lower end of 48%–52% and expense ratio mid-to-upper 36%–39% (pretax margin upper end of 17%–20%). Management emphasized focus on profitable growth, underwriting discipline, expense management, continuing investment in U.S. growth initiatives (with more time to reach target profitability), and tactical capital deployment given strong balance sheet and liquidity.
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