Arafura Resources Earnings Calls
| Release date | Feb 18, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0050 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0027 |
| EPS Surprise | 46.71% |
| Revenue estimate | - |
| Revenue actual | - |
| Release date | Jul 27, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0065 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0001 |
| EPS Surprise | 98.45% |
| Revenue estimate | - |
| Revenue actual | - |
| Release date | Apr 29, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | - |
| Revenue estimate | - |
| Revenue actual | - |
| Release date | Feb 19, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0070 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0050 |
| EPS Surprise | 29.59% |
| Revenue estimate | - |
| Revenue actual | - |
Last 4 Quarters for Arafura Resources
Below you can see how ARAFF performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Price on release | $0.0984 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0070 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0050 |
| EPS surprise | 29.59% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | $0.0900 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $0.0900 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | $0.0900 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $0.0800 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $0.0984 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $0.100 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | $0.0895 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $0.0990 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $0.0990 |
| 4 days before | 9.33% |
| 4 days after | 0.610% |
| On release day | -3.46% |
| Change in period | 10.00% |
| Release date | Apr 29, 2025 |
| Price on release | $0.137 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | - |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2025 | $0.130 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $0.122 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $0.134 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $0.139 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $0.137 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $0.135 |
| May 01, 2025 | $0.138 |
| May 02, 2025 | $0.140 |
| May 05, 2025 | $0.140 |
| 4 days before | 5.31% |
| 4 days after | 2.34% |
| On release day | 11.94% |
| Change in period | 7.78% |
| Release date | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Price on release | $0.133 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0065 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0001 |
| EPS surprise | 98.45% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2025 | $0.168 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $0.155 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $0.136 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $0.143 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $0.133 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $0.120 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $0.118 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $0.118 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $0.118 |
| 4 days before | -20.90% |
| 4 days after | -10.94% |
| On release day | -9.43% |
| Change in period | -29.55% |
| Release date | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Price on release | $0.166 |
| EPS estimate | -$0.0050 |
| EPS actual | -$0.0027 |
| EPS surprise | 46.71% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | $0.170 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $0.160 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $0.175 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $0.180 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $0.166 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $0.150 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | $0.157 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $0.157 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $0.160 |
| 4 days before | -2.29% |
| 4 days after | -3.79% |
| On release day | -9.75% |
| Change in period | -6.00% |
Arafura Resources Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q4 2025
Arafura Rare Earths (Nolans Project) reports progress toward securing financing and final investment decision (FID) while noting a favorable shift in global rare earths dynamics. Management highlights growing urgency among OEMs and governments to diversify supply away from China, citing recent actions such as the U.S. Department of Defense support for MP Materials and the emergence of a non-China NdPr price index. Arafura is pursuing multiple parallel funding pathways: cornerstone/strategic equity (targeting up to 60% of required equity), potential joint venture(s), and government-backed funds. The company has entered due diligence with the German Raw Materials Fund seeking up to EUR 100 million (linked to additional offtake), and already has AUD 200 million (~USD 130 million) committed from Australia’s National Reconstruction Fund. Management expects the German fund’s due diligence to be the pacing item and currently views a decision toward the end of the calendar year as likely, after which the remaining ~40% equity raise would be taken to the public market. Technical work continues (including flowsheet testing to boost heavy rare earth recovery with modest incremental capital) and the company is focused on minimizing dilution by maximizing debt and strategic equity. Cash burn has reduced to roughly $2m/month with current runway into Q1 FY2026, and management emphasizes parallel paths (cornerstone equity, JV) to preserve optionality and mitigate timing risk.
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