ARMOUR Residential Earnings Calls
| Release date | Oct 22, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.750 |
| EPS actual | $0.720 |
| EPS Surprise | -4.00% |
| Revenue estimate | 42.621M |
| Revenue actual | 160.832M |
| Revenue Surprise | 277.35% |
| Release date | Jul 23, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.81 |
| EPS actual | $0.770 |
| EPS Surprise | -4.94% |
| Revenue estimate | 63.305M |
| Revenue actual | 194.544M |
| Revenue Surprise | 207.31% |
| Release date | Apr 23, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.93 |
| EPS actual | $0.86 |
| EPS Surprise | -7.53% |
| Revenue estimate | 56.902M |
| Revenue actual | 177.014M |
| Revenue Surprise | 211.09% |
| Release date | Feb 12, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.01 |
| EPS actual | $0.780 |
| EPS Surprise | -22.77% |
| Revenue estimate | 48.412M |
| Revenue actual | -45156000 |
| Revenue Surprise | -193.27% |
Last 4 Quarters for ARMOUR Residential
Below you can see how ARR performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Price on release | $18.91 |
| EPS estimate | $1.01 |
| EPS actual | $0.780 |
| EPS surprise | -22.77% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 06, 2025 | $18.88 |
| Feb 07, 2025 | $18.81 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $18.90 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $19.06 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $18.91 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $19.21 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | $19.18 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $18.95 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $18.96 |
| 4 days before | 0.159% |
| 4 days after | 0.264% |
| On release day | 1.59% |
| Change in period | 0.424% |
| Release date | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Price on release | $14.88 |
| EPS estimate | $0.93 |
| EPS actual | $0.86 |
| EPS surprise | -7.53% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2025 | $13.97 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | $14.30 |
| Apr 21, 2025 | $14.08 |
| Apr 22, 2025 | $14.70 |
| Apr 23, 2025 | $14.88 |
| Apr 24, 2025 | $15.30 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $15.99 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $16.42 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $16.65 |
| 4 days before | 6.51% |
| 4 days after | 11.90% |
| On release day | 2.82% |
| Change in period | 19.18% |
| Release date | Jul 23, 2025 |
| Price on release | $16.89 |
| EPS estimate | $0.81 |
| EPS actual | $0.770 |
| EPS surprise | -4.94% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 17, 2025 | $16.59 |
| Jul 18, 2025 | $16.48 |
| Jul 21, 2025 | $16.31 |
| Jul 22, 2025 | $16.68 |
| Jul 23, 2025 | $16.89 |
| Jul 24, 2025 | $16.69 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $16.86 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $16.63 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $16.69 |
| 4 days before | 1.81% |
| 4 days after | -1.18% |
| On release day | -1.18% |
| Change in period | 0.603% |
| Release date | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Price on release | $15.77 |
| EPS estimate | $0.750 |
| EPS actual | $0.720 |
| EPS surprise | -4.00% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | $15.44 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | $15.66 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | $15.75 |
| Oct 21, 2025 | $15.69 |
| Oct 22, 2025 | $15.77 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | $15.94 |
| Oct 24, 2025 | $16.41 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $16.39 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $16.29 |
| 4 days before | 2.14% |
| 4 days after | 3.30% |
| On release day | 1.08% |
| Change in period | 5.51% |
ARMOUR Residential Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
ARMOUR Residential REIT reported strong Q3 2025 results with GAAP net income available to common stockholders of $156.3 million ($1.49/share) and distributable earnings of $75.3 million ($0.72/share). Total economic return for the quarter was 7.75% and book value rose to $17.49 per share (most recent estimate $17.50 including the October dividend). The company paid a $0.24/month common dividend and declared the November $0.24 dividend. ARMOUR raised capital (~$99.5M via ATM and $298.6M via an underwritten sale in August), repurchased shares opportunistically, and executed a $300M overnight bought deal to deploy capital into attractive spread levels. Portfolio positioning: duration ~0.2 years, implied leverage 8.1x, ~87% of hedges in OIS/SOFR pay-fixed swaps, ~55% liquidity, and the portfolio is concentrated in specified Agency MBS/CMBS and U.S. Treasuries (92% specified pools). Management sees a constructive medium-term backdrop: Fed easing, tighter MBS spreads (~20 bps), lower volatility, potential increased demand from banks, GSE reform/privatization implications, and possible GSE reinvestment capacity. Prepayments rose moderately (October CPR ~9.6), reinforcing focus on specified pools and lower-optional assets (DUS, discount MBS, Agency CMBS) to manage negative convexity. Management expects hedges and funding (repo, standing facility) to remain adequate, sees hedged ROEs on incremental investments around 16%–18% (up to ~19% for higher premium pools), and remains disciplined on dividend, liquidity, and risk management.
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