ConocoPhillips Earnings Calls
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.41 |
| EPS actual | $1.61 |
| EPS Surprise | 14.18% |
| Revenue estimate | 14.756B |
| Revenue actual | 15.522B |
| Revenue Surprise | 5.19% |
| Release date | Aug 07, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.35 |
| EPS actual | $1.42 |
| EPS Surprise | 5.19% |
| Revenue estimate | 14.679B |
| Revenue actual | 13.979B |
| Revenue Surprise | -4.77% |
| Release date | May 08, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $2.05 |
| EPS actual | $2.09 |
| EPS Surprise | 1.95% |
| Revenue estimate | 16.328B |
| Revenue actual | 16.458B |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.794% |
| Release date | Feb 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.78 |
| EPS actual | $1.98 |
| EPS Surprise | 11.24% |
| Revenue estimate | 14.45B |
| Revenue actual | 14.236B |
| Revenue Surprise | -1.48% |
Last 4 Quarters for ConocoPhillips
Below you can see how COP performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $99.94 |
| EPS estimate | $1.78 |
| EPS actual | $1.98 |
| EPS surprise | 11.24% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | $98.83 |
| Feb 03, 2025 | $98.48 |
| Feb 04, 2025 | $100.58 |
| Feb 05, 2025 | $100.21 |
| Feb 06, 2025 | $99.94 |
| Feb 07, 2025 | $98.36 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $99.48 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $101.71 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $98.40 |
| 4 days before | 1.12% |
| 4 days after | -1.54% |
| On release day | -0.82% |
| Change in period | -0.435% |
| Release date | May 08, 2025 |
| Price on release | $88.82 |
| EPS estimate | $2.05 |
| EPS actual | $2.09 |
| EPS surprise | 1.95% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| May 02, 2025 | $91.41 |
| May 05, 2025 | $87.61 |
| May 06, 2025 | $87.63 |
| May 07, 2025 | $87.71 |
| May 08, 2025 | $88.82 |
| May 09, 2025 | $88.59 |
| May 12, 2025 | $92.27 |
| May 13, 2025 | $94.17 |
| May 14, 2025 | $92.57 |
| 4 days before | -2.83% |
| 4 days after | 4.22% |
| On release day | -0.259% |
| Change in period | 1.27% |
| Release date | Aug 07, 2025 |
| Price on release | $92.60 |
| EPS estimate | $1.35 |
| EPS actual | $1.42 |
| EPS surprise | 5.19% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Aug 01, 2025 | $92.76 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $92.85 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $93.20 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $93.11 |
| Aug 07, 2025 | $92.60 |
| Aug 08, 2025 | $93.91 |
| Aug 11, 2025 | $93.53 |
| Aug 12, 2025 | $94.59 |
| Aug 13, 2025 | $95.88 |
| 4 days before | -0.172% |
| 4 days after | 3.54% |
| On release day | 1.41% |
| Change in period | 3.36% |
| Release date | Nov 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $85.66 |
| EPS estimate | $1.41 |
| EPS actual | $1.61 |
| EPS surprise | 14.18% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2025 | $88.86 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $88.57 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $87.91 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $87.70 |
| Nov 06, 2025 | $85.66 |
| Nov 07, 2025 | $86.83 |
| Nov 10, 2025 | $88.24 |
| Nov 11, 2025 | $90.69 |
| Nov 12, 2025 | $89.07 |
| 4 days before | -3.60% |
| 4 days after | 3.98% |
| On release day | 1.37% |
| Change in period | 0.236% |
ConocoPhillips Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
ConocoPhillips reported a strong operational quarter with production ahead of the high end of guidance and continued quarter-on-quarter declines in capex and operating costs. The company raised full-year 2025 production guidance, reduced adjusted operating cost guidance again, and increased the base dividend by 8%, while returning roughly 45% of year-to-date cash from operations to shareholders. Major project updates: Willow (Alaska) capex was increased to $8.5–$9.0 billion primarily due to higher general and North Slope-specific inflation, but schedule remains intact with first oil narrowed to early 2029 and ~50% project completion; three LNG equity projects (NFE, NFS in Qatar and Port Arthur phase one) had total project capital reduced by $600 million (now ~$3.4 billion) and are ~80% complete with first start-up expected at NFE in 2026. Preliminary 2026 guidance (at ~$60 WTI) calls for materially lower combined CapEx and OpEx (about $1 billion lower vs. 2025 and roughly $3 billion lower vs. pro forma 2024), with underlying production flat to +2% year-over-year. The firm reiterated its multiyear free-cash-flow thesis: four major in-flight projects plus $1 billion of cost/margin actions are expected to drive a $7 billion free cash flow inflection by 2029 (roughly $1 billion improvement annually in 2026–2028 and an incremental ~$4 billion when Willow starts in 2029). The company has completed over $3 billion of asset sales toward a $5 billion target, finished much of the Marathon integration synergies, and retains substantial liquidity (~$6.6 billion cash/short-term + $1.1 billion long-term liquid). Overall message: resilient production and cost execution, disciplined capital trajectory into 2026, manageable project-led capex increase at Willow but preserved schedule and a clear path to significant multi‑year free cash flow growth.
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