Vale Earnings Calls
| Release date | Apr 28, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.470 |
| EPS actual | $0.440 |
| EPS Surprise | -6.38% |
| Revenue estimate | 9.529B |
| Revenue actual | 9.258B |
| Revenue Surprise | -2.84% |
| Release date | Feb 12, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.570 |
| EPS actual | -$0.90 |
| EPS Surprise | -257.89% |
| Revenue estimate | 10.901B |
| Revenue actual | 11.06B |
| Revenue Surprise | 1.46% |
| Release date | Oct 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.490 |
| EPS actual | $0.630 |
| EPS Surprise | 28.57% |
| Revenue estimate | 10.807B |
| Revenue actual | 10.406B |
| Revenue Surprise | -3.70% |
| Release date | Jul 31, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.340 |
| EPS actual | $0.500 |
| EPS Surprise | 47.06% |
| Revenue estimate | 9.403B |
| Revenue actual | 8.804B |
| Revenue Surprise | -6.37% |
Last 4 Quarters for Vale
Below you can see how VALE performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Price on release | $9.53 |
| EPS estimate | $0.340 |
| EPS actual | $0.500 |
| EPS surprise | 47.06% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2025 | $10.00 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $9.84 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $9.89 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $9.63 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $9.53 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $9.71 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $9.85 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $9.87 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $9.85 |
| 4 days before | -4.70% |
| 4 days after | 3.36% |
| On release day | 1.89% |
| Change in period | -1.50% |
| Release date | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $11.89 |
| EPS estimate | $0.490 |
| EPS actual | $0.630 |
| EPS surprise | 28.57% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | $11.41 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $11.46 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $11.62 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $11.83 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $11.89 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $12.09 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $12.20 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $11.94 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $12.31 |
| 4 days before | 4.21% |
| 4 days after | 3.53% |
| On release day | 1.68% |
| Change in period | 7.89% |
| Release date | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Price on release | $17.04 |
| EPS estimate | $0.570 |
| EPS actual | -$0.90 |
| EPS surprise | -257.89% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 06, 2026 | $16.30 |
| Feb 09, 2026 | $16.79 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | $16.74 |
| Feb 11, 2026 | $17.38 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $17.04 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $16.65 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $15.90 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $16.00 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $16.10 |
| 4 days before | 4.54% |
| 4 days after | -5.52% |
| On release day | -2.29% |
| Change in period | -1.23% |
| Release date | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Price on release | $16.91 |
| EPS estimate | $0.470 |
| EPS actual | $0.440 |
| EPS surprise | -6.38% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | $17.51 |
| Apr 23, 2026 | $17.14 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | $17.17 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | $17.07 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | $16.91 |
| Apr 29, 2026 | $15.85 |
| Apr 30, 2026 | $16.36 |
| May 01, 2026 | $16.18 |
| May 04, 2026 | $15.84 |
| 4 days before | -3.43% |
| 4 days after | -6.33% |
| On release day | -6.27% |
| Change in period | -9.54% |
Vale Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q1 2026
Key points for investors: Vale delivered a strong Q1 2026 operational and financial performance. Pro forma EBITDA was $3.9 billion (up 21% YoY), with Vale Base Metals (VBM) EBITDA more than doubling to ~$1.2 billion and iron ore EBITDA of ~$2.9 billion. Iron ore production rose ~3% YoY (record output at S11D and Brucutu) and sales volumes were +4% YoY; Serra Sul plus 20 is 86% complete and on track for H2 start-up. Copper production reached 102 kt (highest since 2017) and nickel production grew ~12% YoY, aided by Voisey's Bay and Onça Puma ramp. Price realization improved (all-linked premiums +$2.6/ton QoQ, ~ $800m annualized impact). Costs increased (C1 cash cost $23.6/t, +12% YoY) driven mainly by BRL appreciation and prior inventory consumption; management reiterates guidance and says if oil ~$90/bbl and BRL ~5.25 it expects to reach the top end of FY guidance. Risk management: significant hedges (≈70% of bunker demand protected with zero-cost collars) and reduced spot TC exposure; affreightment and hedges helped mitigate freight/oil volatility. Cash flow and capital allocation: recurring free cash flow $813m (+61% YoY); Q1 distributions of $2.7bn (dividends/IoC) and ~5m shares repurchased; expanded net debt $17.8bn (target range $10–$20bn, operating around midpoint). Management signals potential for further extraordinary dividends and buybacks if net debt trends below ~$15bn. Sustainability/innovation: announced ethanol-powered Guaibamax vessels (operations expected 2029) and wind-assisted technologies to cut shipping emissions ~90%. VBM update: continued operational improvement, exploration upside (Alemão and Pará) and optionality on strategic moves (IPO not a target in itself; focus remains on operational stabilization and value-creating growth). Market outlook: management sees overall stability in global steel/iron-ore demand despite geopolitical volatility, some upward shift in industry marginal costs (~$5–$10/t, asymmetric impact on highest-cost producers), and balanced pellet premiums outlook.
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