XPO Logistics Earnings Calls
| Release date | Oct 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $1.01 |
| EPS actual | $1.07 |
| EPS Surprise | 5.94% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.973B |
| Revenue actual | 2.111B |
| Revenue Surprise | 6.98% |
| Release date | Jul 31, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.99 |
| EPS actual | $1.05 |
| EPS Surprise | 6.06% |
| Revenue estimate | 2.085B |
| Revenue actual | 2.08B |
| Revenue Surprise | -0.258% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.650 |
| EPS actual | $0.730 |
| EPS Surprise | 12.31% |
| Revenue estimate | 2.066B |
| Revenue actual | 1.954B |
| Revenue Surprise | -5.40% |
| Release date | Feb 06, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.680 |
| EPS actual | $0.89 |
| EPS Surprise | 30.88% |
| Revenue estimate | 1.917B |
| Revenue actual | 1.922B |
| Revenue Surprise | 0.285% |
Last 4 Quarters for XPO Logistics
Below you can see how XPO performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 06, 2025 |
| Price on release | $146.91 |
| EPS estimate | $0.680 |
| EPS actual | $0.89 |
| EPS surprise | 30.88% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025 | $133.67 |
| Feb 03, 2025 | $128.62 |
| Feb 04, 2025 | $131.50 |
| Feb 05, 2025 | $136.31 |
| Feb 06, 2025 | $146.91 |
| Feb 07, 2025 | $148.16 |
| Feb 10, 2025 | $146.48 |
| Feb 11, 2025 | $148.01 |
| Feb 12, 2025 | $144.81 |
| 4 days before | 9.90% |
| 4 days after | -1.43% |
| On release day | 0.85% |
| Change in period | 8.33% |
| Release date | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $106.12 |
| EPS estimate | $0.650 |
| EPS actual | $0.730 |
| EPS surprise | 12.31% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2025 | $103.72 |
| Apr 25, 2025 | $96.42 |
| Apr 28, 2025 | $97.53 |
| Apr 29, 2025 | $97.43 |
| Apr 30, 2025 | $106.12 |
| May 01, 2025 | $103.94 |
| May 02, 2025 | $109.74 |
| May 05, 2025 | $109.29 |
| May 06, 2025 | $107.71 |
| 4 days before | 2.31% |
| 4 days after | 1.50% |
| On release day | -2.05% |
| Change in period | 3.85% |
| Release date | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Price on release | $120.29 |
| EPS estimate | $0.99 |
| EPS actual | $1.05 |
| EPS surprise | 6.06% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2025 | $138.31 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $135.74 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $134.46 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $132.29 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $120.29 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $118.79 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $119.49 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $120.42 |
| Aug 06, 2025 | $123.05 |
| 4 days before | -13.03% |
| 4 days after | 2.29% |
| On release day | -1.25% |
| Change in period | -11.03% |
| Release date | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $135.97 |
| EPS estimate | $1.01 |
| EPS actual | $1.07 |
| EPS surprise | 5.94% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2025 | $125.77 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | $125.25 |
| Oct 28, 2025 | $123.66 |
| Oct 29, 2025 | $124.75 |
| Oct 30, 2025 | $135.97 |
| Oct 31, 2025 | $143.87 |
| Nov 03, 2025 | $138.29 |
| Nov 04, 2025 | $140.66 |
| Nov 05, 2025 | $138.34 |
| 4 days before | 8.11% |
| 4 days after | 1.74% |
| On release day | 5.81% |
| Change in period | 9.99% |
XPO Logistics Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q3 2025
XPO reported a strong Q3 2025 driven by record LTL results and continued margin expansion. Key financials: total revenue $2.1B (+3% YoY), company adjusted EBITDA $342M (+3% YoY), LTL adjusted EBITDA $308M (+9% YoY) and LTL adjusted operating income $217M (+10% YoY). Adjusted EPS was $1.07 (up 5% YoY). Operational highlights include best-ever LTL quarterly EBITDA, yield ex-fuel +5.9% YoY, sequential revenue-per-shipment improvement for the 11th quarter, damage frequency at record low and on-time performance improved for the 14th consecutive quarter. Cost/capability actions: aggressive in‑sourcing reduced purchased transportation to a record low 5.9% of miles, investments lowered tractor average age to 3.6 years, and AI-driven tools produced meaningful productivity gains (linehaul empty miles down, pickups/delivery route optimization piloted, dock labor forecasting). Margin performance: LTL adjusted EBITDA margin 24.5% (expanded 180 bps YoY) and adjusted OR improved 150 bps YoY; management expects Q4 to materially outperform typical seasonal OR deterioration and to deliver a meaningful year‑over‑year OR improvement. Liquidity and capital allocation: $335M cash, $935M total liquidity, net leverage 2.4x; repurchased $50M stock and paid $50M term loan; CapEx to moderate (from ~15% of revenue last year toward mid‑range of long‑term 8–12%), with free cash flow expected to strengthen. Outlook/strategy: management expects continued above‑market yield growth, further AI productivity gains, and another year of OR and earnings improvement in 2026 even without assuming a macro recovery; incremental margins on a volume rebound are expected to be comfortably above 40%. Risks noted include macro weakness, legal charge that affected GAAP EPS, and typical industry/forward-looking uncertainties.
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