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At Close: Jun 03, 2026
Globally, inflation has been weak for at least 20 years. There are a number of intertwined reasons for this.
U.S. nonfarm payrolls posted a fourth monthly gain in August, adding 1.4 million jobs following a 1.7 million rise in July, a 4.8 million surge in June, and a 2.7 million gain in May.

What's Driving The Selloff In U.S. Markets?

01:52pm, Saturday, 05'th Sep 2020
Unpacking the August U.S. jobs report.

The Big 4 Economic Indicators: August Employment

01:43pm, Saturday, 05'th Sep 2020
This commentary has been updated to include this morning's (Sept. 4) release of Nonfarm Employment.
Stock market volatility is now more than twice what it was at the beginning of February as stock prices swing one way and another.

Will We See A 'September Effect' In 2020?

02:01am, Saturday, 05'th Sep 2020
As is discussed almost every year, September has historically been the most disappointing month for the US stock market.
Fed policy is driving much of the market, along with Robinhood traders, who see no return from savings.
High frequency indicators can give us a nearly up-to-the-moment view of the economy. The metrics are divided into long-leading, short-leading, and coincident indicators.

You Knew It Was Coming, Right?

03:59pm, Friday, 04'th Sep 2020
Anyone surprised by a sudden pullback in the market wasn't paying attention. Stocks were overbought.

Stimulus For Retail

11:38am, Friday, 04'th Sep 2020
US retail sales growth has been slowing on a sequential basis. Low inventory levels in autos have reduced consumer choice and caused deferrals.
A truer picture of the employment situation is extracted from the Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims (UIWC) report.
The Federal Reserve has changed the emphasis of their dual mandate. Inflation targeting will become more flexible in the long-run.
The US employment report is front and center. The euro recovered smartly yesterday, making new highs late in the North American session, even as equities were hammered.

Not All All-Time Highs Are Equal

06:19am, Friday, 04'th Sep 2020
The difference between all-time market highs that are followed by further gains and those that turn into market tops tends to be the general appetite for risk.

Making Sense Of Thursday's Market Rout

05:16am, Friday, 04'th Sep 2020
Today's 3.5% drop was a big deal. It was the 71st worst out of 17,783 trading days since 1950.
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