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At Close: Jun 03, 2026
Adjusting for short-term momentum and medium-term mean-reversion factors (defined below) trims GMI's current ex ante premium to an annualized 4.5%.

September Will Be Ugly

06:58am, Thursday, 03'rd Sep 2020
This is a weekly series focused on analyzing the previous week’s economic data releases. The objective is to concentrate on leading indicators of economic activity to determine whether the economy i

Cost-Cutting Is A Necessity With Many Legs

06:30am, Thursday, 03'rd Sep 2020
Emergency support proves insufficient to replace lost revenue, avoid permanent business closures and job loss, bankruptcies, cash crunch and ongoing liquidation cycle for many assets.
A few giant stocks have had a disproportionate influence on indexes that have risen to all-time highs.
I have long argued that value and price, while used interchangeably by many, are different concepts, driven by different forces, and lead to different numbers.

Analyzing U.S. Equity Market Peaks

10:18pm, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
The S&P 500 share index has gained around 50% from its March 23 low of 2237, although the sharpest appreciation was already realized by June.

Yes, The Crash Is Coming

03:58pm, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
Ah, Where to begin? Is it Tesla's $450 billion valuation and its pre-split adjusted price of around $2,500? How about the fact that Apple is now worth more than the entire FTSE 100? Retail investors g

World Markets Update: August 31, 2020

03:32pm, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
Six of eight indexes on our world watch list posted losses through August 31, 2020. The top performer is China's Shanghai with a gain of 11.33%.
During the coronavirus downturn and rebound, US growth stocks outpaced value stocks by a record margin.

Of #FOMO And #OnHold

12:04pm, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
Stock indices remain overbought. Sentiment remains overly positive.
Dr. David Kelly said that he was expecting a 13%-15% Q3 '20 GDP growth rate, after the expected sharp collapse in Q2 '20.

The Link Between Low Rates And A Vibrant Economy

10:31am, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
Low rates are also supposed to encourage business borrowing and boost employment, but often it also encourages savers to take on more risk than they should when they search for higher yields.

5 Reasons A Stock Correction May Be Imminent

10:21am, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
The S&P 500 Index looks strong, but is becoming increasingly fragile. A correction may be imminent.
Global markets, as represented by MSCI All-Country World Index, or ACWI, were up 6.1% in August led by Japan (catch-up performance after having lagged in July) and U.S.
During the past couple of months, I discussed why the 35% decline in March was only a correction and not a bear market.
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