NYSEARCA:DXD

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At Close: Jun 03, 2026

August/September 2020 Update

06:22am, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
The world still remains mired in a COVID-vaccine-is-coming holding pattern while the Federal Reserve and US Treasury continue to prop-up stocks, bonds, and hard assets with very low interest rate poli
Fed Chair Jay Powell announced a new inflation target policy that allows for inflation to rise moderately over its 2% target for a period of time.
The weakest performance in August was in US bonds: Bloomberg US Aggregate Index slipped 0.8% last month, the first setback since March.

Median Household Income In July 2020

05:13am, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
Political Calculations' initial estimate of median household income in July 2020 is $65,672, a decrease of 0.2% from June 2020's initial estimate of $65,778.

Yikes

02:29am, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
One of the things to remember about investing is that the higher the price you pay today, for a given stream of future cash flows, the lower the long-term returns you can expect.

Rationalization: Low Rates Justify High Valuations

01:23am, Wednesday, 02'nd Sep 2020
The basic premise of the interest rate/valuation argument has its roots in the Fed Model, which states that when the earnings yield on stocks is higher than the Treasury yield, you invest in stocks, a
The Fed’s “inflation running hot” memo has created a pivotal point in the market rally, and the resulting asset price inflation is exactly what the Fed intended.
The most dangerous short-term change is one spurred on by emotions, rapidly bringing into action holders of excess cash or large equity holdings.

Fed's Gonna Let The Economy Run 'Hot, Hot, Hot'

09:26pm, Tuesday, 01'st Sep 2020
Forward guidance will be an integral policy tool going forward in order to try and manage expectations and hopefully, volatility as well.

The Trend Is Your Friend, If...

11:21am, Tuesday, 01'st Sep 2020
After the best August for the S&P since 1984, it is clear that the trend is your friend here. The YTD results support this notion also.
Over the past five months, there has been no evidence of capital flight to the US. A large rise in the expected inflation rate in parallel with a flat nominal interest rate equates to a large decline
The major indexes rallied for the fourth straight week with the S&P 500 and NASDAQ gaining more than 3.0% last week.

July Income And Consumption

01:55am, Tuesday, 01'st Sep 2020
Consumption is almost to the nadir of the Great Financial Crisis. We still have a long way to go.
Hyman Minsky’s “two-price model” is a useful framework for understanding the dichotomy between Wall Street and Main Street.

Is The Bull Argument Too Easy These Days?

03:51pm, Monday, 31'st Aug 2020
The Bulls are clearly large and in charge here. My Primary Cycle Model board sports a bright shade of green.
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