Dow Jones Industrial Average Index Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Oct 17, 2025 Gain 0.87%

The Dow Jones Industrial Average index price fell by -1.18% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from 47,147.47 points to 46,590.25 points. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the index fluctuated 1.66% from a day low at 46,430.27 points to a day high of 47,202.56 points. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -1.58% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the index, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the index. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -50 million shares and in total, 499 million shares were bought and sold for approximately 23.23 points trillion.

The index lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at 46,484.57 points is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the index is expected to rise 5.39% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between 48,989.99 points and 50,977.85 points at the end of this 3-month period.

^DJI Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Dow Jones Industrial Average index holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the index. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at 47,390.49 points and 46,888.57 points. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -3.45%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Dow Jones Industrial Average index

Dow Jones Industrial Average finds support from accumulated volume at 46,381.53 points and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the index tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this index. During the last day, the index moved 772.29 points between high and low, or 1.66%. For the last week the index has had daily average volatility of 1.32%.

Our recommended stop-loss: 44,059.08 points (-5.43%) (This index has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (^DJI) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Dow Jones Industrial Average to open at 46,741.03 points, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between 46,315.59 points and 46,864.91 points, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-549.32 points (+/-1.19%) up or down from last closing price. If Dow Jones Industrial Average takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.19% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at 46,381.53 points (0.45%) than the resistance at 47,522.12 points (2.00%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Dow Jones Industrial Average index A Buy?

Dow Jones Industrial Average holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development.

Current score: -0.661 Hold/Accumulate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - 46,741.03 points ( 0.324%).

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