Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. stock upgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. stock price fell by -0.781% on the last day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024) from JP¥1,024.00 to JP¥1,016.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.38% from a day low at JP¥1,013.00 to a day high of JP¥1,027.00. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still down by -2.4% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -44 thousand shares and in total, 752 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥764.44 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.70% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥1,014.54 and JP¥1,140.29 at the end of this 3-month period.
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7762.T Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥1,030.29 and JP¥1,027.63. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 12, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.10%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.
A sell signal from a double top formation was found on Friday, April 12, 2024 and based on theory for this formation the price should fall by -9.72% to JP¥917.24 within 34 trading days since signal was issued (Tuesday, May 07, 2024).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. stock
Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥1,008.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥14.00 between high and low, or 1.38%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.75%.
Our recommended stop-loss: JP¥963.84 (-5.13%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 13 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (7762.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 7th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 7th we expect Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. to open at JP¥1,018.67, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥994.16 and JP¥1,037.84, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥21.84 (+/-2.15%) up or down from last closing price. If Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.30% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥1,021.00 (0.49%) than the support at JP¥1,008.00 (0.79%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. stock A Buy?
Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. holds several negative signals and this should be a sell candidate, but due to the general chance for a turnaround situation it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.823 Hold/Accumulate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Citizen Watch Co.,Ltd. of Tuesday, May 7, 2024
| Fair opening price May 7, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| JP¥1,018.67 ( 0.262%) | JP¥1,016.00 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 7762.T
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,032.67 | 1.64 % | |
| R2 | 1,027.32 | 1.11 % | ||
| R1 | 1,024.01 | 0.789 % | ||
| Current price: | 1,016.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,013.32 | -0.264 % | |
| S2 | 1,010.01 | -0.589 % | ||
| S3 | 1,004.67 | -1.12 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 1,046.00 | 2.95 % | |
| R2 | 1,043.00 | 2.66 % | ||
| R1 | 1,021.00 | 0.492 % | ||
| Current price | 1,016.00 | |||
| Support | S1 | 1,008.00 | -0.787% | |
| S2 | 993.00 | -2.26% | ||
| S3 | 973.00 | -4.23% |
7762 Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | JP¥0 | 0% |
| 2 | Sep 28, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | Sep 28, 2023 | JP¥20.00 | 2.14% |
| 3 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | Mar 30, 2023 | JP¥19.00 | 2.49% |
| 4 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | Sep 29, 2022 | JP¥15.00 | 2.49% |
| 5 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | Mar 30, 2022 | JP¥9.00 | 1.75% |
FAQ
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