Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd Stock Forecast
Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on May 17, 2024)
No changes to the price of Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd stock on the last trading day (Friday, 17th May 2024). During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0% from a day low at HK$0.0660 to a day high of HK$0.0660. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -2.94% loss for the last 2 weeks.
The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at HK$0.0701 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -20.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$0.0251 and HK$0.0555 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
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8406.HK Signals & Forecast
The Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately HK$0.0671. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately HK$0.0573. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, May 14, 2024, and so far it has fallen 0%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Volume fell on the last day without any changes to the price. This does not cause any direct divergence but may be an early warning and a possible "turning point". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd stock
Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at HK$0.0650 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved HK$0 between high and low, or 0%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0%
Our recommended stop-loss: HK$0.0623 (-5.64%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 2 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (8406.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd to open at HK$0.0660, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$0.0603 and HK$0.0717, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.0057 (+/-8.57%) up or down from last closing price. If Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 17.13% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$0.0650 (1.52%) than the resistance at HK$0.0680 (3.03%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd stock A Buy?
Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.
Current score: 0.000 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded
Zero in score indicates that our system is expecting high volatility and risk for the following trading day. Given the latest developments, we cannot determine the next direction as it may go both ways.
Predicted Opening Price for Alpha Era International Holdings Ltd of Monday, May 20, 2024
Fair opening price May 20, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
HK$0.0660 ( 0%) | HK$0.0660 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for 8406.HK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.0660 | . | |
R2 | 0.0660 | . | ||
R1 | 0.0660 | . | ||
Current price: | 0.0660 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.0660 | . | |
S2 | 0.0660 | . | ||
S3 | 0.0660 | . |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 0.0750 | 13.64 % | |
R2 | 0.0700 | 6.06 % | ||
R1 | 0.0680 | 3.03 % | ||
Current price | 0.0660 | |||
Support | S1 | 0.0650 | -1.52% | |
S2 | 0.0600 | -9.09% | ||
S3 | 0.0550 | -16.67% |
8406 Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jun 18, 2020 | Jun 18, 2020 | Jun 18, 2020 | HK$0.0075 | 7.50% |
2 | May 09, 2019 | May 09, 2019 | May 09, 2019 | HK$0.0075 | 5.03% |
FAQ
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