Subaru . Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 24, 2026

The Subaru Co., Ltd. stock price fell by -0.89% on the last day (Friday, 24th Jul 2026) from JP¥5,600.00 to JP¥5,550.00. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.180% from a day low at JP¥5,550.00 to a day high of JP¥5,560.00. The price has fallen in 4 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.97% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 100 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 400 shares were bought and sold for approximately JP¥2.22 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 2.50% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between JP¥5,612.01 and JP¥5,955.07 at the end of this 3-month period.

9778.T Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Subaru Co., Ltd. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at JP¥5,667.14 and JP¥5,584.00. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, July 17, 2026, and so far it has fallen -4.31%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Thursday, May 21, 2026 in the short-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Subaru Co., Ltd. stock

Subaru Co., Ltd. finds support from accumulated volume at JP¥5,530.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved JP¥10.00 between high and low, or 0.180%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.86%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (9778.T) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 27th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 27th we expect Subaru Co., Ltd. to open at JP¥5,553.33, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between JP¥5,518.64 and JP¥5,581.36, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-JP¥62.73 (+/-1.14%) up or down from last closing price. If Subaru Co., Ltd. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 1.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at JP¥5,560.00 (0.18%) than the support at JP¥5,530.00 (0.36%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For 9778.T

Dividend coming up for 9778.T: Ex-dividend date (Thursday 25th February, 2027) is 214 days away. The dividend is JP¥119.00.

Is Subaru Co., Ltd. stock A Buy?

The Subaru Co., Ltd. stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Subaru Co., Ltd. will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.205 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 27, 2026 - JP¥5,553.33 ( 0.0601%).

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