Miniso Group Holding Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 24, 2026

The Miniso Group Holding Ltd stock price fell by -2.52% on the last day (Friday, 24th Jul 2026) from HK$24.58 to HK$23.96. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.24% from a day low at HK$23.58 to a day high of HK$24.58. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days but is still up by 4.08% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -998 thousand shares and in total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately HK$70.71 million.

The stock lies the upper part of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break up at the top trend line at HK$24.99 will firstly indicate a slower falling rate, but may be the first sign of a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -19.66% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between HK$15.93 and HK$20.08 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

9896.HK Signals & Forecast

A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, June 26, 2026, and so far it has risen 10.11%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Miniso Group Holding Ltd stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at HK$24.86 and HK$24.06. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Miniso Group Holding Ltd stock

Miniso Group Holding Ltd finds support from accumulated volume at HK$23.58 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved HK$1.00 between high and low, or 4.24%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.19%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (9896.HK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 27th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 27th we expect Miniso Group Holding Ltd to open at HK$24.04, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between HK$23.48 and HK$24.44, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-HK$0.95 (+/-4.06%) up or down from last closing price. If Miniso Group Holding Ltd takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.06% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at HK$23.58 (1.59%) than the resistance at HK$24.36 (1.67%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is Miniso Group Holding Ltd stock A Buy?

Miniso Group Holding Ltd holds several negative signals and we believe that it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We, therefore, hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -2.243 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 27, 2026 - HK$24.04 ( 0.334%).

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