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Evaluation of Perth Mint Physical Gold ETF downgraded after the last trading session
(Updated on Jul 13, 2026)
The Perth Mint Physical Gold ETF price fell by -2.59% on the last day (Monday, 13th Jul 2026) from $40.50 to $39.45. During the last trading day the ETF fluctuated 1.92% from a day low at $39.31 to a day high of $40.06. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -1.69% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 729 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 1 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $58.41 million.
The ETF lies in the middle of a falling trend in the short term and further fall within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the ETF is expected to fall -16.75% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $31.37 and $34.14 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the ETF price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.
AAAU Signals & Forecast
A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Wednesday, June 24, 2026, and so far it has risen 0.382%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The Perth Mint Physical Gold ETF holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the ETF. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $40.44 and $41.86. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the ETF should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Perth Mint Physical Gold ETF
Perth Mint Physical Gold finds support from accumulated volume at $39.30 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This ETF is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the ETF moved $0.754 (1.92%) between high and low. For the last week, the ETF has had daily average volatility of 1.45%.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (AAAU) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 14th
For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 14th we expect Perth Mint Physical Gold ETF to open at $39.61, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $39.03 and $39.87, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.83 (+/-2.14%) up or down from last closing price. If Perth Mint Physical Gold ETF takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.14% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $39.30 (0.38%) than the resistance at $40.24 (2.00%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Perth Mint Physical Gold ETF ETF A Buy?
Perth Mint Physical Gold holds several negative signals and is within a falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this ETF. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this ETF since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Sell candidate.
Current score:
-3.237
Sell Candidate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on July 14, 2026 - $39.61 ( 0.400%).
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AAAU Performance
Trading levels for AAAU
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 40.36 | 2.31% |
| R2 | 40.07 | 1.58% |
| R1 | 39.90 | 1.13% |
| Price | 39.45 | |
| S1 | 39.32 | -0.330% |
| S2 | 39.14 | -0.780% |
| S3 | 38.85 | -1.51% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 44.83 | 13.64% |
| R2 | 41.76 | 5.86% |
| R1 | 40.24 | 2.00% |
| Price | 39.45 | |
| S1 | 39.30 | -0.380% |
| S2 | 0 | - |
| S3 | 0 | - |
FAQ
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