Archer Aviation Inc. Stock Forecast
Archer Aviation Inc. stock downgraded from Sell Candidate to Strong Sell Candidate after Wednesday trading session.
(Updated on Apr 17, 2024)
The Archer Aviation Inc. stock price fell by -2.07% on the last day (Wednesday, 17th Apr 2024) from $3.86 to $3.78. It has now fallen 4 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 4.23% from a day low at $3.78 to a day high of $3.94. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -14.29% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 169 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $12.21 million.
The stock lies in the lower of a very wide and falling trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $3.72 is broken, it will firstly indicate a stronger fall rate. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -17.69% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $3.06 and $3.91 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ACHR Signals & Forecast
There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Archer Aviation Inc. stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $4.02 and $4.54. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, March 13, 2024, and so far it has fallen -26.46%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Archer Aviation Inc. stock
There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.
This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.160 between high and low, or 4.23%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.89%.
Archer Aviation Inc. is oversold on RSI14 (9). Some stocks may fall long and hard while being oversold on RSI, but stocks that are heavily oversold on RSI often pose good re-bounce chance and played well it can be a buy candidate.
Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.
Trading Expectations (ACHR) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Thursday 18th
For the upcoming trading day on Thursday, 18th we expect Archer Aviation Inc. to open at $3.83, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.54 and $4.02, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.236 (+/-6.25%) up or down from last closing price. If Archer Aviation Inc. takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 12.49% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $4.21, some $0.430 (11.38%) from the current price of $3.78, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.
Is Archer Aviation Inc. stock A Buy?
Archer Aviation Inc. holds several negative signals and is within a very wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Sell to a Strong Sell candidate.
Current score: -5.045 Strong Sell Candidate Downgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Archer Aviation Inc. of Thursday, April 18, 2024
| Fair opening price April 18, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $3.83 ( 1.41%) | $3.78 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ACHR
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 3.99 | 5.64 % | |
| R2 | 3.93 | 4.03 % | ||
| R1 | 3.89 | 3.03 % | ||
| Current price: | 3.78 | |||
| Support | S1 | 3.77 | -0.206 % | |
| S2 | 3.73 | -1.20 % | ||
| S3 | 3.67 | -2.82 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 4.58 | 21.16 % | |
| R2 | 4.29 | 13.49 % | ||
| R1 | 4.21 | 11.38 % | ||
| Current price | 3.78 | |||
| Support | S1 | 0 | . | |
| S2 | 0 | . | ||
| S3 | 0 | . |
FAQ
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