- Beat earnings estimates in 3 of the last 4 quarters
- 4.80% TTM dividend yield
- Bullish trend confirmed on both short and long timeframes
Weaker technical forecast for The AES Corporation as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate
(Updated on Jun 25, 2026)
The The AES Corporation stock price fell by -0.136% on the last day (Thursday, 25th Jun 2026) from $14.68 to $14.66. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.616% from a day low at $14.62 to a day high of $14.71. The price has risen in 5 of the last 10 days and is up by 0.21% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 3 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 7 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $107.81 million.
The stock lies in the middle of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.63% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $15.04 and $15.39 at the end of this 3-month period.
AES Signals & Forecast
There are mixed signals in the stock today. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 04, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.475%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely. The The AES Corporation stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $14.65 and $14.60. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for The AES Corporation stock
The AES Corporation finds support from accumulated volume at $14.45 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.0900 between high and low, or 0.616%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.369%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $13.82 (-5.70%) (This stock has very low daily movements and this gives very low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 14 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (AES) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 26th
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 26th we expect The AES Corporation to open at $14.66, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $14.63 and $14.69, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.0647 (+/-0.44%) up or down from last closing price. If The AES Corporation takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 0.44% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $14.67 (0.07%) than the support at $14.45 (1.43%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is The AES Corporation stock A Buy?
The AES Corporation holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold candidate.
Current score:
-0.024
Hold/Accumulate
Downgraded
Predicted Fair Opening Price
Predicted fair opening price on June 26, 2026 - $14.66 ( 0.0227%).
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AES Performance
Trading levels for AES
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 14.75 | 0.637% |
| R2 | 14.72 | 0.402% |
| R1 | 14.70 | 0.257% |
| Price | 14.66 | |
| S1 | 14.63 | -0.212% |
| S2 | 14.61 | -0.357% |
| S3 | 14.57 | -0.591% |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |
|---|---|---|
| R3 | 14.71 | 0.341% |
| R2 | 14.68 | 0.136% |
| R1 | 14.67 | 0.0682% |
| Price | 14.66 | |
| S1 | 14.45 | -1.43% |
| S2 | 14.35 | -2.11% |
| S3 | 14.28 | -2.59% |
AES Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 01, 2026 | May 01, 2026 | May 15, 2026 | $0.176 | 1.08% |
| 2 | Jan 30, 2026 | Jan 30, 2026 | Feb 13, 2026 | $0.176 | 1.27% |
| 3 | Oct 31, 2025 | Oct 31, 2025 | Nov 14, 2025 | $0.176 | 1.22% |
| 4 | Jul 11, 2025 | Aug 01, 2025 | Aug 15, 2025 | $0.180 | 1.35% |
| 5 | May 01, 2025 | May 01, 2025 | May 15, 2025 | $0.176 | 1.42% |
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