Aldeyra Therapeutics Stock Forecast

Weaker technical forecast for Aldeyra Therapeutics as stock downgraded to Hold/Accumulate.
(Updated on Apr 18, 2024)

ALDX Signals & Forecast

The Aldeyra Therapeutics stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $4.13. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $3.62. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell during the last trading day despite gaining prices. This causes a divergence between volume and price and it may be an early warning. The stock should be watched closely. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, April 05, 2024, and so far it has fallen -15.68%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Aldeyra Therapeutics stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $3.62 and $3.55. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Aldeyra Therapeutics finds support just below today's level at $3.62. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $3.55 and $3.27.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.180 between high and low, or 4.63%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.64%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $3.77 (-5.24%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 9 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ALDX) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 19th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 19th we expect Aldeyra Therapeutics to open at $3.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $3.68 and $4.28, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.303 (+/-7.62%) up or down from last closing price. If Aldeyra Therapeutics takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 15.24% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $4.15 (4.27%) than the support at $3.62 (9.05%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Aldeyra Therapeutics stock A Buy?

Aldeyra Therapeutics holds several positive signals, but we still don't find these to be enough for a buy candidate. At the current level, it should be considered as a hold candidate (hold or accumulate) in this position whilst awaiting further development. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Hold/Accumulate candidate.

Current score: 0.397 Hold/Accumulate Downgraded

Predicted Opening Price for Aldeyra Therapeutics of Friday, April 19, 2024

The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.