Alaska Air Group Inc Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Green day on Thursday for Alaska Air Group Inc
(Updated on May 02, 2024)
The Alaska Air Group Inc stock price gained 1.23% on the last trading day (Thursday, 2nd May 2024), rising from $42.18 to $42.70. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.66% from a day low at $42.20 to a day high of $42.90. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a -3.92% loss for the last 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 513 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $85.07 million.
The stock lies in the lower part of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $41.93 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 22.52% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $51.38 and $57.16 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ALK Signals & Forecast
The Alaska Air Group Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $43.53. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $41.92. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Monday, April 22, 2024, and so far it has fallen -6.22%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD).
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alaska Air Group Inc stock
Alaska Air Group Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $41.76 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.700 between high and low, or 1.66%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.22%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $40.41 (-5.35%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ALK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 3rd
For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 3rd we expect Alaska Air Group Inc to open at $42.60, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $41.43 and $43.97, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.27 (+/-2.97%) up or down from last closing price. If Alaska Air Group Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.94% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $42.72 (0.05%) than the support at $41.76 (2.20%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Alaska Air Group Inc stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Alaska Air Group Inc stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 4.010 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Alaska Air Group Inc of Friday, May 3, 2024
| Fair opening price May 3, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $42.60 ( 0.234%) | $42.70 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ALK
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 43.30 | 1.41 % | |
| R2 | 43.03 | 0.779 % | ||
| R1 | 42.87 | 0.392 % | ||
| Current price: | 42.70 | |||
| Support | S1 | 42.33 | -0.86 % | |
| S2 | 42.17 | -1.25 % | ||
| S3 | 41.90 | -1.87 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 44.44 | 4.07 % | |
| R2 | 42.99 | 0.679 % | ||
| R1 | 42.72 | 0.0468 % | ||
| Current price | 42.70 | |||
| Support | S1 | 41.76 | -2.20% | |
| S2 | 38.92 | -8.85% | ||
| S3 | 38.61 | -9.58% |
ALK Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jan 28, 2020 | Feb 14, 2020 | Mar 05, 2020 | $0.375 | 0.86% |
| 2 | Nov 07, 2019 | Nov 18, 2019 | Dec 05, 2019 | $0.350 | 0.520% |
| 3 | Aug 07, 2019 | Aug 19, 2019 | Sep 05, 2019 | $0.350 | 0.552% |
| 4 | May 09, 2019 | May 20, 2019 | Jun 06, 2019 | $0.350 | 0.574% |
| 5 | Jan 24, 2019 | Feb 15, 2019 | Mar 07, 2019 | $0.350 | 0.626% |
FAQ
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