Alaska Air Group Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since May 27, 2026 Gain 7.05%

The Alaska Air Group Inc stock price gained 0.84% on the last trading day (Tuesday, 23rd Jun 2026), rising from $48.80 to $49.21. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 5.43% from a day low at $47.57 to a day high of $50.15. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 16.5% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 166 thousand more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 3 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $135.03 million.

The stock lies in the upper part of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good selling opportunity for the short-term trader as reaction back towards the lower part of the trend can be expected. A break-up at the top trend line at $49.55 will firstly indicate a stronger rate of rising. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 22.41% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $48.44 and $60.66 at the end of this 3-month period.

ALK Signals & Forecast

The Alaska Air Group Inc stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $48.72 and $42.85. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 18, 2026, and so far it has fallen -0.102%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alaska Air Group Inc stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $45.40 and $41.45. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Alaska Air Group Inc finds support just below today's level at $45.40. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $41.45 and $39.91.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $2.58 between high and low, or 5.43%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 4.30%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $47.35 (-3.78%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 2 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ALK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Wednesday 24th

For the upcoming trading day on Wednesday, 24th we expect Alaska Air Group Inc to open at $48.98, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $48.01 and $50.41, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$2.40 (+/-5.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Alaska Air Group Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.01% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $49.26 (0.10%) than the support at $45.40 (7.74%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Alaska Air Group Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Alaska Air Group Inc stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 2.170 Buy Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 24, 2026 - $48.98 ( 0.476%).

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