Alaska Air Group Inc Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Sep 23, 2024 Gain 59.13%

The Alaska Air Group Inc stock price fell by -1.60% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jan 2025) from $67.42 to $66.34. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.77% from a day low at $66.12 to a day high of $67.95. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 3.17% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -118 thousand shares and in total, 2 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $116.37 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 55.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $100.81 and $109.20 at the end of this 3-month period.

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ALK Signals & Forecast

The Alaska Air Group Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $66.97. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $62.25. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, January 10, 2025, and so far it has fallen -2.70%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Alaska Air Group Inc stock

Alaska Air Group Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $65.52 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock is usually traded at a good volume, and with minor daily changes, the risk is considered to be low. During the last day, the stock moved $1.83 (2.77%) between high and low. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.69%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $63.11 (-4.87%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 5 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ALK) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 21st

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 21st we expect Alaska Air Group Inc to open at $66.80, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $64.39 and $68.29, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.95 (+/-2.93%) up or down from last closing price. If Alaska Air Group Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.87% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $66.47 (0.20%) than the support at $65.52 (1.24%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Is Alaska Air Group Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Alaska Air Group Inc stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 1.955 Buy Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on January 21, 2025 - $66.80 ( 0.698%).