Applied Materials Stock Forecast

Buy candidate since May 13, 2025 Gain 0.99%

The Applied Materials stock price gained 0.350% on the last trading day (Thursday, 15th May 2025), rising from $174.14 to $174.75. It has now gained 4 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 3.01% from a day low at $171.20 to a day high of $176.35. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 17.31% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day along with the price, which is a positive technical sign, and, in total, 5 million more shares were traded than the day before. In total, 12 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $2.01 billion.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to fall -4.59% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $117.43 and $166.72 at the end of this 3-month period. Do note, that if the stock price manages to stay at current levels or higher, our prediction target will start to change positively over the next few days as the conditions for the current predictions will be broken.

AMAT Signals & Forecast

Mostly positive signals in the chart today. The Applied Materials stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $165.33 and $148.38. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Friday, April 04, 2025, and so far it has risen 37.65%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume is rising along with the price. This is considered to be a good technical signal.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Applied Materials stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $149.73 and $138.24. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Applied Materials finds support just below today's level at $149.73. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $138.24 and $132.85.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $5.15 between high and low, or 3.01%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.46%.

The Applied Materials stock is overbought on RSI14 and lies in the upper part of the trend. Normally this may pose a good selling opportunity for the short-term trader, but some stock may go long and hard while being overbought. Regardless, the high RSI together with the trend position increases the risk and higher daily movements (volatility) should be expected. A correction down in the nearby future seems very likely and it is of great importance that the stock manages to break the trend before that occurs.

Our recommended stop-loss: $168.91 (-3.34%) (This stock has high daily movements and this gives high risk. The RSI14 is 83 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 28 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (AMAT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Friday 16th

For the upcoming trading day on Friday, 16th we expect Applied Materials to open at $174.10, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $168.78 and $180.72, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$5.97 (+/-3.41%) up or down from last closing price. If Applied Materials takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.83% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $175.99 (0.71%) than the support at $149.73 (14.32%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For AMAT

Dividend warning for AMAT: Ex-dividend date is approaching in 5 days on Thursday 22nd May, 2025. The dividend to be paid is $0.460, which is a small dividend (0.263%). The stock is expected to open approximately 0.263% lower on the ex-dividend date.

Is Applied Materials stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals are positive, despite the stock being in a falling trend, we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for stock to perform well in the short-term.

Current score: 3.129 Buy Candidate Unchanged

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Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on May 16, 2025 - $174.10 ( 0.372%).