Applied Materials Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Apr 08, 2026 Gain 62.51%

The Applied Materials stock price fell by -6.16% on the last day (Friday, 26th Jun 2026) from $668.00 to $626.84. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 6.14% from a day low at $622.00 to a day high of $660.19. The price has risen in 7 of the last 10 days and is up by 13.43% over the past 2 weeks. Volume has increased on the last day by 12 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 28 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $17.64 billion.

The stock lies in the middle of a very wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 59.78% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $814.56 and $1,073.83 at the end of this 3-month period.

AMAT Signals & Forecast

The Applied Materials stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $617.13 and $498.01. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Thursday, June 25, 2026, and so far it has fallen -6.16%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Applied Materials stock

Applied Materials finds support from accumulated volume at $617.11 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock may move very much during the day (volatility) and with a very large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "very high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $38.19 between high and low, or 6.14%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 5.37%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $598.26 (-4.56%) (This stock has very high daily movements and this gives very high risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 1 day ago.)

Trading Expectations (AMAT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 29th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 29th we expect Applied Materials to open at $636.34, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $607.90 and $645.78, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$37.89 (+/-6.23%) up or down from last closing price. If Applied Materials takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 6.23% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $617.11 (1.55%) than the resistance at $640.18 (2.13%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For AMAT

Dividend coming up for AMAT: Ex-dividend date (Thursday 20th August, 2026) is 51 days away. The dividend is $0.530.

Is Applied Materials stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Applied Materials stock to perform well in the short-term. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Strong Buy to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 2.111 Buy Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on June 29, 2026 - $636.34 ( 1.52%).

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