Applied Materials Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 16, 2026 Loss -5.57%

The Applied Materials stock price fell by -5.57% on the last day (Friday, 17th Jul 2026) from $560.93 to $529.66. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 7.40% from a day low at $513.22 to a day high of $551.18. The price has fallen in 6 of the last 10 days and is down by -12.17% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 2 million shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 10 million shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.31 billion.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 53.77% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $814.45 and $1,193.88 at the end of this 3-month period.

AMAT Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The Applied Materials stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $576.04 and $565.92. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, June 30, 2026, and so far it has fallen -26.74%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Applied Materials stock

On the downside, the stock finds support just below today's level from accumulated volume at $453.01 and $440.56. There is a natural risk involved when a stock is testing a support level, since if this is broken, the stock then may fall to the next support level. In this case, Applied Materials finds support just below today's level at $453.01. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $440.56 and $436.62.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $37.96 between high and low, or 7.40%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 6.45%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (AMAT) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 20th

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 20th we expect Applied Materials to open at $531.35, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $507.15 and $552.17, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$45.02 (+/-8.88%) up or down from last closing price. If Applied Materials takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 8.88% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $453.01 (14.47%) than the resistance at $617.11 (16.51%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Dividend Warning For AMAT

Dividend coming up for AMAT: Ex-dividend date (Thursday 20th August, 2026) is 31 days away. The dividend is $0.530.

Is Applied Materials stock A Buy?

The Applied Materials stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe Applied Materials will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -4.594 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on July 20, 2026 - $531.35 ( 0.320%).

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