Amerisafe Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Jul 29, 2026 Loss -3.30%

The AMERISAFE stock price fell by -1.06% on the last day (Friday, 31st Jul 2026) from $29.35 to $29.04. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 1.29% from a day low at $28.96 to a day high of $29.33. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -14.34% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 90 thousand shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 369 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $10.73 million.

Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 7.47% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $31.21 and $38.90 at the end of this 3-month period.

AMSF Signals & Forecast

There are few to no technical positive signals at the moment. The AMERISAFE stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $29.96 and $32.57. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, July 07, 2026, and so far it has fallen -18.08%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume rose on falling prices yesterday. This may be an early warning and the stock should be followed more closely.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for AMERISAFE stock

There is no support from accumulated volume below today's level and given the right condition the stock may perform very badly in the next couple of days.

This stock may move much during the day (volatility) and with a large prediction interval from the Bollinger Band this stock is considered to be "high risk". During the last day, the stock moved $0.373 between high and low, or 1.29%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.96%.

AMERISAFE is oversold on RSI14 (21). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (AMSF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 3rd

For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 3rd we expect AMERISAFE to open at $29.11, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $28.51 and $29.57, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$1.05 (+/-3.69%) up or down from last closing price. If AMERISAFE takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 3.69% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

With no support below and resistance from accumulated volume @ $30.61, some $1.57 (5.41%) from the current price of $29.04, our system finds the risk reward not very attractive.

Dividend Warning For AMSF

Dividend coming up for AMSF: Ex-dividend date (Friday 11th September, 2026) is 39 days away. The dividend is $0.410.

Is AMERISAFE stock A Buy?

The AMERISAFE stock holds several negative signals and despite the positive trend, we believe AMERISAFE will perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. Therefore, we hold a negative evaluation of this stock.

Current score: -3.245 Sell Candidate Unchanged

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on August 3, 2026 - $29.11 ( 0.244%).

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