Arcos Dorados Holdings Stock Forecast

Buy or Hold candidate since Nov 05, 2025 Gain 1.69%

The Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc stock price fell by -0.686% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $7.29 to $7.24. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.77% from a day low at $7.22 to a day high of $7.42. The price has been going up and down for this period, and there has been a 2.55% gain for the last 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -1 million shares and in total, 756 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $5.47 million.

The stock lies in the middle of a wide and weak rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 3.81% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $7.03 and $7.97 at the end of this 3-month period.

ARCO Signals & Forecast

The Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc stock holds a sell signal from the short-term Moving Average; at the same time, however, there is a buy signal from the long-term average. Since the short-term average is above the long-term average there is a general buy signal in the stock giving a positive forecast for the stock. On further gains, the stock will meet resistance from the short-term Moving Average at approximately $7.26. On a fall, the stock will find some support from the long-term average at approximately $7.06. A break-up through the short-term average will send a buy signal, whereas a breakdown through the long-term average will send a sell signal. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, November 12, 2025, and so far it has fallen -4.61%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. The stock had a Golden Star Signal on Monday, November 10, 2025 in the long-term chart.

Golden Star Signal is when the short-term moving average, the long-term moving average, and price line meet in a special combination. This combination is very rare and often followed by long and strong gains for the stock in question.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc stock

Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $7.00 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. During the last day, the stock moved $0.200 between high and low, or 2.77%. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 3.93%.

Our recommended stop-loss: $6.83 (-5.73%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 3 days ago.)

Trading Expectations (ARCO) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc to open at $7.29, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $7.13 and $7.35, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.211 (+/-2.96%) up or down from last closing price. If Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.96% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $7.25 (0.14%) than the support at $7.00 (3.31%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.

Dividend Warning For ARCO

Dividend coming up for ARCO: Ex-dividend date (Monday 22nd December, 2025) is 33 days away. The dividend is $0.0600.

Is Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc stock A Buy?

Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc stock to perform well in the short-term. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold to a Buy candidate.

Current score: 3.228 Buy Candidate Upgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $7.29 ( 0.737%).

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