Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc Stock Forecast
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc stock upgraded to Buy Candidate.
(Updated on Apr 19, 2024)
The Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc stock price fell by -0.573% on the last day (Friday, 19th Apr 2024) from $13.95 to $13.87. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.396% from a day low at $13.83 to a day high of $13.88. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -2.26% for this period. Volume fell on the last day along with the stock, which is actually a good sign as volume should follow the stock. On the last day, the trading volume fell by -14 thousand shares and in total, 59 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $818.26 thousand.
The stock lies in the lower part of a narrow and weak rising trend in the short term, and this may normally pose a very good buying opportunity. If the lower trend floor at $13.84 is broken, it will firstly indicate a slower rate of rising, but may also be an early warning for a trend shift. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 4.67% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $14.49 and $15.20 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ARDC Signals & Forecast
The Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $13.92 and $14.06. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. Furthermore, there is currently a sell signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Volume fell along with the price during the last trading day, which is technical positive. One should, however, note that this stock may have low liquidity in periods, which increases the general risk. Some positive signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A buy signal was issued from a pivot bottom point on Tuesday, April 16, 2024, and so far it has risen 0.434%. Further rise is indicated until a new top pivot has been found.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc stock
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc finds support from accumulated volume at $13.63 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and therefore the general risk is considered very low. However, be aware of low or falling volume and make sure to keep an eye on the stock During the last day, the stock moved $0.0547 between high and low, or 0.396%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 1.07%
Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc is oversold on RSI14 (24). Some stocks may drop long and hard while being oversold on RSI before turning, which increases the general risk.
Our recommended stop-loss: $12.99 (-6.37%) (This stock has low daily movements and this gives low risk. Low RSI14 is 24 which reduces the risk some. There is a buy signal from a pivot bottom found 3 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ARDC) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 22nd
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 22nd we expect Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc to open at $13.86, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $13.73 and $14.01, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.140 (+/-1.01%) up or down from last closing price. If Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 2.02% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the resistance from accumulated volume at $13.99 (0.87%) than the support at $13.63 (1.73%), our systems don't find the trading risk/reward intra-day attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level.
Is Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc stock A Buy?
Several of the signals/indicators are negative, and we believe that this will affect on the development for the next days and maybe possible weeks. However, over time, we think that today's level holds a possible buying opportunity and that the price will be higher during or at the end of this 3-month period. We have upgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Hold/Accumulate to a Buy candidate.
Current score: 1.721 Buy Candidate Upgraded
Predicted Opening Price for Ares Dynamic Credit Allocation Fund Inc of Monday, April 22, 2024
Fair opening price April 22, 2024 | Current price |
---|---|
$13.86 ( 0.0608%) | $13.87 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ARDC
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 13.92 | 0.334 % | |
R2 | 13.90 | 0.183 % | ||
R1 | 13.88 | 0.0898 % | ||
Current price: | 13.87 | |||
Support | S1 | 13.84 | -0.211 % | |
S2 | 13.83 | -0.305 % | ||
S3 | 13.81 | -0.455 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
Level | Price | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Resistance | R3 | 14.13 | 1.87 % | |
R2 | 14.09 | 1.59 % | ||
R1 | 13.99 | 0.87 % | ||
Current price | 13.87 | |||
Support | S1 | 13.63 | -1.73% | |
S2 | 13.57 | -2.16% | ||
S3 | 13.41 | -3.32% |
ARDC Dividend Payout History
# | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Apr 19, 2024 | Apr 19, 2024 | Apr 30, 2024 | $0.118 | 0.85% |
2 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 20, 2024 | Mar 28, 2024 | $0.118 | 0.83% |
3 | Feb 09, 2024 | Feb 20, 2024 | Feb 29, 2024 | $0.118 | 0.85% |
4 | Jan 11, 2024 | Jan 19, 2024 | Jan 31, 2024 | $0.118 | 0.88% |
5 | Dec 11, 2023 | Dec 20, 2023 | Dec 29, 2023 | $0.118 | 0.85% |
FAQ
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