Associated British Foods plc (ADR) Stock Forecast
Explanation to Bollinger's Bands
Bollinger Bands was created by John Bollinger in the early 1980s, its purpose is to define price action relative to the assets highs and lows. This technical indicator is used to identify buy and sell signals and has proven very well in doing so.
Bollinger Bands consist of a set of three curves drawn in relation to securities prices. The middle band is a measure of the intermediate-term trend, usually a simple moving average, that serves as the base for the upper and lower bands. The interval between the upper and lower bands and the middle band is determined by volatility, typically the standard deviation of the same data that were used for the average. StockInvest.us uses Bollingers suggested 20 day average.
Middle Bollinger Band = 20-period simple moving average
Upper Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band + 2 * 20-period standard deviation
Lower Bollinger Band = Middle Bollinger Band - 2 * 20-period standard deviation
BandWidth defines the current width of the band.
%b defines the current position within the band.
BandWidth = (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band) / Middle Bollinger Band
%b = (Last - Lower Bollinger Band) / (Upper Bollinger Band - Lower Bollinger Band)
Live Samples:
Bottlenecks in bandwidth indicate an upcoming change. Break up through the moving average line or continuous movements above the moving average line indicate a break up, and vice versa.
Source: http://www.bollingerbands.com
Associated British Foods plc (ADR) stock price ended at $33.61 on Friday, after gaining 0.649%.
(Updated on May 03, 2024)
The Associated British Foods plc (ADR) stock price gained 0.649% on the last trading day (Friday, 3rd May 2024), rising from $33.39 to $33.61. It has now gained 3 days in a row. It will be exciting to see whether it manages to continue gaining or take a minor break for the next few days. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.04% from a day low at $33.37 to a day high of $34.05. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 10.4% over the past 2 weeks. Volume fell on the last day by -2 thousand shares and in total, 5 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $153.47 thousand. You should take into consideration that falling volume on higher prices causes divergence and may be an early warning about possible changes over the next couple of days.
The stock lies in the middle of a wide and strong rising trend in the short term and a further rise within the trend is signaled. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 15.74% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $35.52 and $40.22 at the end of this 3-month period.
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ASBFY Signals & Forecast
The Associated British Foods plc (ADR) stock holds buy signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a positive forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. On corrections down, there will be some support from the lines at $33.23 and $31.31. A breakdown below any of these levels will issue sell signals. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Tuesday, April 23, 2024, and so far it has fallen -1.57%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. Volume fell during the last trading day while the price increased. This causes a divergence and may be considered as an early warning, but it may also not.
Support, Risk & Stop-loss for Associated British Foods plc (ADR) stock
Associated British Foods plc (ADR) finds support from accumulated volume at $33.48 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.
This stock has average movements during the day, but be aware of low or falling volume as this increases the risk. During the last day, the stock moved $0.680 between high and low, or 2.04%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.68%.
Our recommended stop-loss: $32.48 (-3.36%) (This stock has medium daily movements and this gives medium risk. The RSI14 is 76 and this increases the risk substantially. There is a sell signal from a pivot top found 8 days ago.)
Trading Expectations (ASBFY) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Monday 6th
For the upcoming trading day on Monday, 6th we expect Associated British Foods plc (ADR) to open at $33.68, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $32.75 and $34.46, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.86 (+/-2.56%) up or down from last closing price. If Associated British Foods plc (ADR) takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 5.12% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.
Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $33.48 (0.37%) than the resistance at $34.14 (1.59%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..
Is Associated British Foods plc (ADR) stock A Buy?
Several short-term signals, along with a general good trend, are positive and we conclude that the current level may hold a buying opportunity as there is a fair chance for Associated British Foods plc (ADR) stock to perform well in the short-term.
Current score: 2.984 Buy Candidate Unchanged
Predicted Opening Price for Associated British Foods plc (ADR) of Monday, May 6, 2024
| Fair opening price May 6, 2024 | Current price |
|---|---|
| $33.68 ( 0.208%) | $33.61 |
The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price.
Trading levels for ASBFY
Fibonacci Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 34.36 | 2.23 % | |
| R2 | 34.10 | 1.46 % | ||
| R1 | 33.93 | 0.98 % | ||
| Current price: | 33.61 | |||
| Support | S1 | 33.42 | -0.565 % | |
| S2 | 33.25 | -1.04 % | ||
| S3 | 33.00 | -1.82 % |
Accumulated Volume Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance | R3 | 0 | . | |
| R2 | 0 | . | ||
| R1 | 34.14 | 1.59 % | ||
| Current price | 33.61 | |||
| Support | S1 | 33.48 | -0.372% | |
| S2 | 33.13 | -1.41% | ||
| S3 | 31.01 | -7.71% |
ASBFY Dividend Payout History
| # | Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Yield | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 31, 2024 | May 31, 2024 | Jul 19, 2024 | $0.208 | 0.618% |
| 2 | Dec 14, 2023 | Dec 14, 2023 | Jan 29, 2024 | $0.512 | 1.70% |
| 3 | May 31, 2023 | Jun 01, 2023 | Jul 21, 2023 | $0.176 | 0.642% |
| 4 | Dec 15, 2022 | Dec 15, 2022 | Jan 30, 2023 | $0.346 | 1.49% |
| 5 | Jun 03, 2022 | Jun 09, 2022 | Jul 22, 2022 | $0.174 | 0.86% |
FAQ
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