Bae Systems Stock Forecast

Sell candidate since Nov 17, 2025

The BAE Systems plc stock price fell by -1.08% on the last day (Monday, 17th Nov 2025) from $23.88 to $23.62. It has now fallen 3 days in a row. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 2.55% from a day low at $23.50 to a day high of $24.10. The price has fallen in 7 of the last 10 days and is down by -3.03% for this period. Volume has increased on the last day by 434 shares but on falling prices. This may be an early warning and the risk will be increased slightly over the next couple of days. In total, 600 shares were bought and sold for approximately $14.17 thousand.

The stock is at the lower part of a wide and horizontal trend in the short term, and normally this may pose a good buying opportunity, though a breakdown through the bottom trend line at $23.21 will give a strong sell signal and a trend shift may be expected. Given the current horizontal trend, you can expect BAE Systems plc stock with a 90% probability to be traded between $23.08 and $28.08 at the end of this 3-month period. A break of a horizontal trend is often followed by a large increase in the volume, and stock seldom manage to go directly from the bottom of a trend up to the top. Stock turning up in the middle of a horizontal trend are therefore considered to be potential runners.

BAESF Signals & Forecast

Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. The BAE Systems plc stock holds sell signals from both short and long-term Moving Averages giving a more negative forecast for the stock. Also, there is a general sell signal from the relation between the two signals where the long-term average is above the short-term average. On corrections up, there will be some resistance from the lines at $23.92 and $25.37. A break-up above any of these levels will issue buy signals. A sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Friday, October 03, 2025, and so far it has fallen -16.59%. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. BAE Systems plc gained volume on the last day, but on falling prices. In technical terms, this is called divergence and may be an early warning. In some cases, increasing volume on falling prices may be considered positive, but that is mainly in typical "sell-offs". The very low volume increases the risk and reduces the other technical signals issued.

Support, Risk & Stop-loss for BAE Systems plc stock

BAE Systems plc finds support from accumulated volume at $23.52 and this level may hold a buying opportunity as an upwards reaction can be expected when the support is being tested.

In general the stock tends to have very controlled movements and with good liquidity the risk is considered very low in this stock. During the last day, the stock moved $0.600 between high and low, or 2.55%. For the last week the stock has had daily average volatility of 2.77%.

Our recommended stop-loss: We hold a negative evaluation for this stock. No stop-loss is set.

Trading Expectations (BAESF) For The Upcoming Trading Day Of Tuesday 18th

For the upcoming trading day on Tuesday, 18th we expect BAE Systems plc to open at $23.74, and during the day (based on 14 day Average True Range), to move between $23.16 and $24.09, which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.93 (+/-4.01%) up or down from last closing price. If BAE Systems plc takes out the full calculated possible swing range there will be an estimated 4.01% move between the lowest and the highest trading price during the day.

Since the stock is closer to the support from accumulated volume at $23.52 (0.43%) than the resistance at $24.14 (2.21%), our systems sees the trading risk/reward intra-day as attractive and believe profit can be made before the stock reaches first resistance..

Is BAE Systems plc stock A Buy?

BAE Systems plc holds several negative signals and is within a wide and falling trend, so we believe it will still perform weakly in the next couple of days or weeks. We therefore hold a negative evaluation of this stock. Due to some small weaknesses in the technical picture we have downgraded our analysis conclusion for this stock since the last evaluation from a Buy to a Sell candidate.

Current score: -1.278 Sell Candidate Downgraded

Predicted Fair Opening Price

Predicted fair opening price on November 18, 2025 - $23.74 ( 0.502%).

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