BAE Systems Earnings Calls
| Release date | Feb 18, 2026 |
| EPS estimate | $0.549 |
| EPS actual | $0.545 |
| EPS Surprise | -0.729% |
| Revenue estimate | 21.81B |
| Revenue actual | 21.61B |
| Revenue Surprise | -0.91% |
| Release date | Jul 30, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.466 |
| EPS actual | $0.436 |
| EPS Surprise | -6.32% |
| Revenue estimate | 19.885B |
| Revenue actual | 18.493B |
| Revenue Surprise | -7.00% |
| Release date | May 09, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | - |
| Revenue estimate | - |
| Revenue actual | - |
| Release date | Feb 19, 2025 |
| EPS estimate | $0.431 |
| EPS actual | $0.413 |
| EPS Surprise | -4.22% |
| Revenue estimate | 18.29B |
| Revenue actual | 17.309B |
| Revenue Surprise | -5.36% |
Last 4 Quarters for BAE Systems
Below you can see how BAESF performed 4 days prior and 4 days after releasing the earnings report. Also, you can see the pre-estimates and the actual earnings. This information can give you a slight idea of what you might expect for the next quarter's release.
| Release date | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Price on release | $16.95 |
| EPS estimate | $0.431 |
| EPS actual | $0.413 |
| EPS surprise | -4.22% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2025 | $14.84 |
| Feb 13, 2025 | $15.60 |
| Feb 14, 2025 | $15.60 |
| Feb 18, 2025 | $17.23 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | $16.95 |
| Feb 20, 2025 | $16.90 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | $15.99 |
| Feb 24, 2025 | $16.52 |
| Feb 25, 2025 | $17.63 |
| 4 days before | 14.22% |
| 4 days after | 4.01% |
| On release day | -1.92% |
| Change in period | 18.80% |
| Release date | May 09, 2025 |
| Price on release | $23.35 |
| EPS estimate | - |
| EPS actual | - |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| May 05, 2025 | $24.13 |
| May 06, 2025 | $23.61 |
| May 07, 2025 | $22.99 |
| May 08, 2025 | $23.28 |
| May 09, 2025 | $23.35 |
| May 12, 2025 | $21.99 |
| May 13, 2025 | $22.40 |
| May 14, 2025 | $22.36 |
| May 15, 2025 | $23.14 |
| 4 days before | -3.23% |
| 4 days after | -0.90% |
| On release day | -5.82% |
| Change in period | -4.10% |
| Release date | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Price on release | $23.94 |
| EPS estimate | $0.466 |
| EPS actual | $0.436 |
| EPS surprise | -6.32% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2025 | $25.55 |
| Jul 25, 2025 | $25.06 |
| Jul 28, 2025 | $24.11 |
| Jul 29, 2025 | $24.47 |
| Jul 30, 2025 | $23.94 |
| Jul 31, 2025 | $23.76 |
| Aug 01, 2025 | $24.82 |
| Aug 04, 2025 | $24.38 |
| Aug 05, 2025 | $24.60 |
| 4 days before | -6.30% |
| 4 days after | 2.74% |
| On release day | -0.773% |
| Change in period | -3.74% |
| Release date | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Price on release | $28.40 |
| EPS estimate | $0.549 |
| EPS actual | $0.545 |
| EPS surprise | -0.729% |
| Date | Price |
|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2026 | $26.30 |
| Feb 12, 2026 | $26.38 |
| Feb 13, 2026 | $27.33 |
| Feb 17, 2026 | $27.91 |
| Feb 18, 2026 | $28.40 |
| Feb 19, 2026 | $29.14 |
| Feb 20, 2026 | $29.40 |
| Feb 23, 2026 | $29.40 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | $28.79 |
| 4 days before | 7.98% |
| 4 days after | 1.36% |
| On release day | 2.61% |
| Change in period | 9.45% |
BAE Systems Earnings Call Transcript Summary of Q4 2025
BAE Systems reported a strong 2025 driven by broad-based revenue, profit and cash-flow growth. Key results: sales up 10% to £30.7bn, underlying EBIT up 12% to £3.3bn, order intake £37bn (book-to-bill 1.2) and a record backlog of £84bn (~3x annual sales). MBDA (BAE 37.5% shareholder) is highlighted as a major growth engine with orders rising materially since 2021 and a EUR 44bn backlog. The company increased self-funded R&D and CapEx to record levels to expand capacity (notably in US munitions, microelectronics, space, shipyard Shiplift) and expects to keep investing to support higher production rates. 2026 guidance: group sales growth of 7–9%, EBIT growth above sales with 9–11% profitability growth, and free cash flow expected to exceed £1.3bn (guidance excludes material advance receipts). Financial position strengthened with free cash flow £2.2bn in 2025, net debt down 22% to £3.8bn, and Moody’s upgrade to A3. Capital allocation remains prioritized: invest in the business, maintain a progressive dividend (22nd consecutive increase; 2025 dividend +10%), selective M&A and buybacks when surplus cash permits. Key investor considerations/risks: variability in cash due to lumpiness of customer advances (guidance excludes new material advances), higher anticipated 2026 effective tax rate (~22%) driven by prior-year releases not repeating and French tax profile, some lower-margin early-stage maritime programs expected to improve as programs mature, and the timing/uncertainty of future large orders (e.g., Eurofighter, GCAP, AUKUS) which affect medium-term visibility.
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